Private equity is targeting retirement accounts, Bitcoin mining could unlock 2+ gigawatts of stranded gas value, and AI will create a premium market for human-only film productions.

### Private Equity Will Flow Into 401(k)s Within Days, Creating Exit Liquidity for Billionaires - Rudy Havenstein

![This Week's Top Predictions](https://www.tftc.io/content/images/2025/08/terribletrader_massive_industrial_warehouse_interior_filled_w_b04de416-996a-43d3-a5d7-a2b9e598ecec_2.png)

The executive order allowing private equity into retirement accounts represents "the bell being rung" according to Dave Collum and Rudy Havenstein. This move will enable private equity firms to offload their "dog shit that's not worth anything" into 401(k)s, creating what Rudy calls "exit liquidity for the billionaires." The timing is critical - private equity firms are already creating continuation funds to move assets from older funds into new ones, essentially running a Ponzi scheme to maintain the illusion of returns.

This development signals desperation in the private equity space, where firms need fresh capital from retail investors to sustain their model. As Dave notes, "funds of funds" create a situation where investors get hit with "two and twenties squared," crushing returns through layered fees. The prediction is that Ma and Pa Kettle's retirement savings will soon be funding these opaque, illiquid investments that have historically underperformed public markets while enriching fund managers.

### Bitcoin Mining Will Unlock 2+ Gigawatts of Stranded Natural Gas Value in the U.S. - Chris Alfano

Currently, only 0.5% to 1% of U.S. natural gas production is being flared, representing over two gigawatts of potential electrical generation capacity for Bitcoin mining. Chris Alfano predicts this entire market will be captured as oil and gas companies realize they can earn $13.50 per MCF mining Bitcoin versus the $1 or less they receive selling to pipelines in oversupplied markets like West Texas. The addressable market is even larger when including wells that are shut in due to uneconomic gas prices and pipeline-connected gas earning negative returns. 360 Energy is already proving this model works, with top 20 oil producers using Bitcoin mining to unlock millions in additional oil revenue by solving their gas disposal problems.

The prediction extends beyond the U.S. - the Middle East market is "four or five times larger," and South America presents similar opportunities. As more oil and gas companies recognize Bitcoin mining as a solution to their stranded gas problems rather than just a speculative investment, this gigawatt-scale deployment will accelerate over the next 24 months.

### AI-Backed Films Will Create a New "Shooting on Film" Premium for Human-Only Productions - Ali Webb

Within the next few years, entirely human-produced films will command a premium similar to how shooting on actual film is valued today versus digital, predicts Ali Webb of Forager. As AI tools become standard in production workflows, audiences will increasingly seek out and pay more for content created without any AI assistance. This shift is already beginning - major studios are using AI for everything from customer research to visual effects, creating a homogenized product that lacks authentic human creativity.

The prediction is that a new market will emerge for "certified human" productions, funded through innovative models like Forager's Bitcoin-backed bonds that separate artistic creation from investor pressure. Just as some directors today insist on shooting on film for its authentic look despite the extra cost and complexity, future filmmakers will market their work as "AI-free" to differentiate from the flood of AI-generated content. This premium tier will preserve traditional filmmaking crafts while the mainstream industry races toward cheaper, faster AI production methods.

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Bitcoin Mining Gets Its iPhone Moment: Block's Proto Rig Delivers 15-20% Fleet Upgrade Savings
==============================================================================================

Block's Proto division just shook up the $4-5 billion ASIC manufacturing duopoly with Rig, a 14.1 J/TH miner featuring the industry's first swappable hashboard design. The 800 TH/s unit addresses bitcoin miners' biggest pain point: being forced to buy entirely new machines for each upgrade cycle.

"Legacy hardware is not optimized for a lot of existing infrastructure," explains Proto Hardware Lead Thomas Templeton. The modular 9-hashboard design promises 15-20% savings on fleet refreshes while extending unit lifespans to 10 years—a game-changer for an industry where equipment typically becomes obsolete in 2-3 years.

Industry veterans are taking notice. "Nice to see a supplier actually listen to feedback from industry!" praised Upstream Data Founder Steve Barbour, highlighting the unit's power density and maintainability. JPMorgan analysts called it "compelling" with "near best-in-class efficiency."

Core Scientific is already hashing with their 15 EH/s order at their Dalton, Georgia facility, with bulk shipments expected in H2 2025. Proto also launched Fleet, an open-source management tool, signaling their commitment to miner-friendly innovation. This could finally force Bitmain and MicroBT to abandon their planned obsolescence model.

[_Link to Full Article_](https://blockspace.media/insight/blocks-proto-unveils-rig-a-14-1-j-th-asic-miner-with-swappable-hashboards/?ref=tftc.io)

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Rob Warren shows how Bitcoin’s proof-of-work, anchored in energy and decentralization, makes it unkillable and turns stranded energy into value.

Key Takeaways
-------------

![Center of Hash - Bitcoin EXPERT Reveals Why It’s Impossible to Hack Bitcoin | Rob Warren](https://www.tftc.io/content/images/2025/08/Rob-Warren.jpg)

Rob Warren, Head of Research and Education at Bitcoin Park, explains that Bitcoin’s security rests on proof-of-work mining, which issues new coins and validates transactions by converting energy into hashes. This anchors Bitcoin’s rules in physical reality, ensuring the 21 million cap and preventing manipulation. Mining thrives on “liability energy,” stranded, wasted, or underutilized power, making Bitcoin a unique buyer of last resort that strengthens grids and monetizes inefficiencies. While hardware manufacturing and mining pools remain centralized, with Bitmain, Whatsminer, Foundry, and Antpool dominating, ongoing efforts like open-source tools and alternative models point toward greater resilience. Ultimately, Bitcoin was not built to rival Visa but to be unkillable, its strength lies in decentralization, energy use, and the permissionless incentives that make it impossible to hack.

Best Quotes
-----------

“All Bitcoin that exists has come into existence through mining.”

“Bitcoin wasn’t designed to compete with Visa. It was designed to be unkillable.”

“It needs to be hard to make money… there has to be a cost associated with producing the money.”

“Bitcoin demands that you use real energy in the real world if you want to participate.”

“Energy is often a liability. For producers, Bitcoin is a buyer of last resort.”

“You don’t have to understand Bitcoin to mine it, but if you don’t, you risk killing the golden goose.”

“The economies of scale in Bitcoin mining don’t come from hashing, they come from energy strategy and efficiency.”

“Two pools controlling over 60% of the network is essentially two nodes running 60% of the network.”

“Maybe the golden age of mining pools is behind us.”

“Bitcoin’s design works because it enforces discipline through energy, creating a permissionless, censorship-resistant system no one can hack.”

Conclusion
----------

The episode makes clear that Bitcoin’s resilience comes from its grounding in physics: miners must expend electricity to secure the network, tying digital scarcity to real-world cost. This design ensures integrity, censorship resistance, and long-term survival, even as challenges of centralization persist. Far from wasteful, Bitcoin transforms excess and stranded energy into economic value while enabling new innovations like heat reuse. By aligning incentives through proof-of-work, Bitcoin remains fundamentally unkillable, a system where energy and decentralization make hacking impossible.

Timestamps
----------

0:00 - Rob's Background at Bitcoin Park
03:01 - Core Functions of Bitcoin Mining
05:19 - Why Energy Consumption Secures Bitcoin
10:16 - How Bitcoin Mining Machines Work
18:03 - Proof-of-Work vs Proof-of-Stake
25:35 - Permissionless Mining & Economic Incentives
31:16 - Energy as Liability, Miners as Solution
38:51 - Optimal Energy Sources for Mining
49:15 - Machine Efficiency & Depreciation Economics
53:38 - Economies of Scale in Bitcoin Mining
58:07 - Energy Efficiency Hardware Improvements
1:04:57 - Hardware Manufacturing Centralization Risks
1:11:07 - Pool Mining Centralization Risks
1:34:40 - Miners' Role in Promoting Decentralization
1:40:49 - Expert Recommendations for Further Learning

Transcript
----------

(00:05) Rob, welcome back to Bitcoin Park. It's good to be here again. Last time was the uh Texas Energy and Mining Summit. Well, feels like yesterday, but it does now now a couple months in the past. Yeah. And uh so we're joined today by Rob Warren, who is the head of research and education at Bitcoin Park. Talk a little bit about that role. Yeah.
(00:29) So, I I've worked predominantly in the mining industry and have have been really deep in really kind of generally the research and education side of things just cuz we've all been figuring stuff out in public as things do in Bitcoin and jumped on with Bitcoin Park essentially is the the the broadhead of research and education which gives me the opportunity to do exactly um exactly what I'm doing but in the context of now the whole Bitcoin space, which is fantastic because it's not just exposure to mining, but it's also introductions to folks that are, you know, working on the human rights side of Bitcoin, who are working on the
(01:05) technical side of Bitcoin, the payments, the custodies. So, it's it's really kind of a a whole new aspect of uh of work that's opened up, which I love. And in addition to work at Bitcoin Park, which were now members of the organization. That's right. Here in Austin, uh, happy members.
(01:30) You also wrote a book, The Bitcoin Miners Almanac. That's right. Yeah. And in my view, you know, we're friends, but also just in the discussions that we've had, you um have a well-rounded perspective of granularly, you know, how a Bitcoin mine works, what the inputs are, Bitcoin at its broadest sense as a money network, and um the combination of those for these early episodes of this podcast.
(01:59) you know, you were one of the one, two, and three people on my list to to record the first episodes to kind of lay some groundwork of not just going into Bitcoin mining 101, but painting a broad structure of the critical aspects of um how Bitcoin mining works, the energy components of it, why it's important to the system.
(02:24) And today I want to kind of dive deeper into the the energy side of what is actually happening, you know, in terms of why the energy is important to Bitcoin. Also some points around centralization. But before we get into those kind of deeper points, I want to hear you articulate because we've had conversations in the past about how there's there's bad analogies of what Bitcoin mining is or isn't. Mhm.
(02:53) One of which is that Bitcoin mining is a is a battery or Bitcoin's a battery. Um whether it's proof of power, but but just talk a little bit about, you know, from your perspective, the function of mining to the Bitcoin network and why it's important and what it is. Sure. Sure. Well, I mean, as as most things are, it's always good to go back to the source document and kind of understand how things were understood at the earliest days of Bitcoin. So functionally, Bitcoin mining does two things.
(03:23) It allows for the issuance of new Bitcoin. That that to us is called the block reward. So approximately every 10 minutes a block is found. You find a block, you are rewarded with something. You're rewarded with Bitcoin. That is a way to get Bitcoin into the world. You need a way to essentially distribute Bitcoin so that people can then have some utility.
(03:46) they can whether that's holding or spending or whatever they do with it. All Bitcoin that exists has come into existence through mining. The next thing that you need to do is you need to be able to transact with the asset. So you need to be able to actually send it to people and that's the second part of Bitcoin mining which is settlement.
(04:05) So, it's the ability to actually submit a signed transaction to the memp pool, have it included in a block, which then the miners are given a small reward for, which is the the fee that you pay to transact on the Bitcoin network. And fundamentally, that's the two things that Bitcoin mining does from a from an operational from a functional perspective in uh in Bitcoin.
(04:24) And it's where we stand today is really worlds apart from where we were in the days of the white paper. And it's almost unrecognizable to look at Bitcoin as of 2025 and try to compare it to what it was in in the earliest days, the 20 odds, right? For one, the biggest difference is that when we talk about what a node is, Satoshi refers to a node as a node that is actually doing mining. And where we stand today, functionally, that's extremely rare.
(04:59) Now, it's it's coming back and I'm sure we'll we'll hit on this when we talk about the decentralization point. But it's interesting how you you can learn a lot about the present by actually going to the original source documents, the white paper, and then understanding, okay, well, what's different and what's the same and how do we hold true to what was actually, you know, given to us in the white paper to make sure that we're really we're really um appropriately stewarding this thing, this Bitcoin thing as we build on it in the future.
(05:24) And so what is it about the mining function and specifically energy that you view or why is it critical to the system? Like why is this function critical to? So if they're if they're doing if if Bitcoin miners are functionally doing two things, validating currency transactions and validating the fixed supply of the currency, why and how is the mining function critical to that? But at a lower level, what is the function of energy and energy consumption within there? That's such a big question.
(06:06) It's such a big question and it's really interesting because when you when you look at the earliest conversations on something like the the Bitcoin talk forums where a lot of folks who are household names in Bitcoin are trying to figure out what is the extension or what is the natural growth path of Bitcoin.
(06:33) There are only very small glimpses into what the future of the mining sector would look like. There are some references to when I run my computer, it heats up my room. Um, there's references to the noise, you know, how how noisy your computer gets if you happen to be running your Bitcoin client and and it's mining and your computer is now wrapped up operating at 100% all the time.
(06:52) Um, but it was I'd argue that it's not really something that we have a fully fleshed out theory of. It's something that we're actually living through the history of right now. And fundamentally it all reduces to this this truth which is that to win a b


Chris Alfano shows how Bitcoin mining monetizes stranded gas, reduces flaring, and enables more oil production.

Key Takeaways
-------------

![Center of Hash - Bitcoin Offtake Unlocks Oil Production | Chris Alfano](https://www.tftc.io/content/images/2025/08/Chris-Alfano.jpg)

Chris Alfano, CEO of 360 Energy, explains how Bitcoin mining has become a powerful tool for oil producers to monetize stranded natural gas, reduce flaring, and unlock additional oil production. What began as a vertically integrated mining venture evolved into a services business that deploys gas-to-Bitcoin infrastructure for upstream producers. In regions like the Permian Basin, where oversupply and poor pipeline contracts push gas prices to near zero or negative, Bitcoin mining offers a far more lucrative outlet, up to $13.50 per MCF compared to $1–3 on the pipeline. For large companies, the main value lies in keeping oil flowing without violating flaring restrictions, while smaller independents may chase Bitcoin economics directly. By offering flexibility, optionality, and higher margins, mining is reframing how natural gas assets are valued in the U.S. and beyond.

Best Quotes
-----------

“We realized that Bitcoin mining isn’t just a means to an end for oil and gas, it’s the other way around.”

“Henry Hub might pay $3.50 an MCF, but mining Bitcoin at the wellhead is $13.50 an MCF.”

“If a pipeline shuts down, producers can be stranded overnight. Our systems give them optionality.”

“For a big producer, it’s not really about the Bitcoin economics. They’ll pay us rent to capture gas, because without us, they’d have to shut in a million dollars a day of oil production.”

“Bitcoin mining is solving real-world problems. You can’t put an AI data center in the middle of an oil field and power it with stranded gas.”

“Only about half a percent of U.S. gas is flared, but that alone is two gigawatts of mining capacity.”

Conclusion
----------

This episode illustrates how Bitcoin mining is becoming integral to energy markets, not as a replacement but as a solution to inefficiencies in oil and gas. By transforming waste gas into productive energy, it reduces emissions, sustains oil production, and generates higher returns than conventional sales. Alfano’s approach positions 360 Energy less as a mining company and more as an oilfield services provider using Bitcoin as a tool, showing that mining’s future lies in solving industrial problems while making Bitcoin’s network more resilient and distributed.

Timestamps
----------

00:00 - Chris Alfano's Background and 360 Energy Strategy
02:18 - From SaaS to Bitcoin Mining: The 2020 Rabbit Hole Journey
05:56 - Evolution from Self-Mining to Oil Field Services Business
08:40 - US Natural Gas Markets and Regional Opportunities
14:52 - Gas Pricing Differentials: Henry Hub vs Waha Dynamics
23:48 - Stranded Gas vs Pipeline-Connected Mining Opportunities
29:32 - Three Value Props: Environmental, Oil, and Economic
33:13 - Case Study: Unlocking Stranded Oil Wells in Texas Gulf
37:20 - Bitcoin Economics vs Liability Reduction Models
43:13 - Mining Infrastructure: Generators, Data Centers, Servers
52:26 - Managing Bitcoin and Natural Gas Price Volatility
01:00:55 - Site Evaluation: Decline Curves and Operational Complexity
01:07:17 - Explaining Bitcoin Sustainability to Energy Customers
01:17:36 - Bitcoin Mining Philosophy and Ecosystem Role
01:24:39 - Strategic Focus and Future Growth Plans

Transcript
----------

(00:05) Chris Alana, welcome to the center of hash. Parker Lewis, it's great to be here. Yeah. Um, before we get into the the topic of the day, we we co-work here out of uh Bitcoin Park. It's mid July in the Texas summer. How's the summer been? It's been hot, good, rainy.
(00:30) you know, we've uh done some family trips and stuff like that. So, tried to get out of it. We're heading to California end of this week. So, upstream mining isn't impacted by the 4CP here in Texas. No natural gas mining. No grid, no 4CP, no curtailment. SMU footballs on the horizon. Uh on the horizon and Ryzen, they say you uh you were at Happy Valley for that. I was disastrous.
(00:56) That was a uh not our best not our best effort. Cool experience though. Our expectations is high this expectations are high. Coach is uh saying big things. He's uh good to target for other schools. So got to keep him happy at SMU. But you know, good transfer giving giving Texas a run for the money as best team in Texas.
(01:19) I'll be uh very pleased if we make it to another playoff. That might not happen again in quite some time, but that's what I said last year with Will Cole when we were sitting here in the summer looking at the team. But, you know, we should be better this year than we were last year. So, very pumped. Well, uh hopefully hash price is higher and come football season in a month.
(01:38) That would be nice. Got to get the uh ordinal people back selling uh their JPEGs. That's controversial. We'll talk about that towards the end, but um we we'll use that as a segue into um the topic of the day. So, in the in in the first couple episodes, we've discussed mining at a very broad high level, and today we're going to go deep on a specific energy strategy and mining strategy.
(02:06) Um Chris is the co-founder and CEO of 360 Energy. Um, Chris, just give a little bit about your background and what 360 does and kind of what defines your strategy. Yeah. Yeah. So 360 energy right before 360 uh I went to SMU if it wasn't obvious before um studied finance and economics there and started a company 2016 with a hedge fund manager in Dallas uh called Keyman Intelligence and uh built that company for four years.
(02:45) Sold that company in 2020 and started 360 and uh what did that company do that we did uh SAS solutions for private credit hedge funds. So we would uh standardize a bunch of the reporting data from you know these these CLOs's have 300 positions in private credit. Um so a bunch of companies that aren't publicly traded don't adhere to GAP and so uh what we would do is aggregate all the data that all of those portfolio positions would report.
(03:15) So like their financials um sims credit agreements everything like that. We'd aggregate that all into uh uh our platform and we'd standardize it. Um, so customers of ours, like other hedge funds, CLOS's would have access to the platform. They'd log in, they'd be able to see all their borrowers uh be able to see kind of standard financial data uh across um their whole portfolio, right? If uh different borrowers report in different ways and even same borrowers quarter to quarter.
(03:44) So yeah, it was just a tool to make analysts more efficient at actually analyzing, kind of get them out of the monkey labor of having to spread financials and figure out where pieces of information were. So it's just kind of like a a database with standardization for uh everything to do with their portfolio positions.
(04:04) And how'd you get from there to 360? Well, sold the company. um moved down to Austin, was out of a job at that point, kind of figuring out what I wanted to do next. Co happened. So, I'm a Bitcoin class of 2020 going down the rabbit hole at that point, kind of right after the company. Um, and obviously fell in love with Bitcoin for many of the same reasons everyone else does.
(04:28) And being a finance guy, being a tech guy, uh, really made a lot of sense in my mind. So, wanted to start another company. was kind of sick of doing software stuff. Um,orked around Austin. Uh, met a great guy named Mike Hamilton. Kind of told me all about this Bitcoin mining thing. Um, sounded really cool.
(04:46) And so kind of started going down the Bitcoin mining rabbit hole. Uh, as anyone does, you try to figure out, okay, you know, I can basically plug in a Bitcoin miner anywhere, but how do I do it, you know, cheaply for a long term, uh, to kind of protect the downside, protect the margin, all that stuff.
(05:05) So, um, for us that was looking at grid, looking at solar, looking at many different, you know, potential options to power our miners. Kind of settled on natural gas as something that's very abundant in Texas and something that's relatively cheap. Uh, we wanted to take it a step further and and actually vertically integrate the natural gas into the Bitcoin mining as a way of kind of controlling that future, having, you know, decade at a single location, having complete operational control.
(05:31) And so, uh, built a team with Sean Milmo, my co-founder, and a few other guys, um, that had a lot more oil and gas background than I did to, uh, stand up 360 Energy. And at that time, uh, the the company's objective was self mining through the ownership and operation of the natural gas assets. So, we went out and bought some uh, old producing uh, gas wells in the Barnett Shale, right outside of Fort Worth, just 20 minutes north of of downtown Fort Worth. And that's really how we got our start.
(06:02) Um, so took over those wells, put our first Bitcoin mine out there in late 21. Um, and started, you know, mining, uh, at probably the worst possible time to be mining and buying infrastructure and stuff like that. And, um, but yeah, that was that was really what it was all about was, you know, how do we bind these old relatively unattractive natural gas assets to traditional oil and gas people? um and turn that into something much more profitable, much more valuable through Bitcoin mining.
(06:33) Uh two questions. What what initially So you mentioned in 2020, what made you go down the Bitcoin rabbit hole just quickly? And then second, um you started out vertically integrated owning the assets, but that's evolved a bit. Yes. Okay. Yeah. I mean, the rabbit hole was a function of time um and a function of just kind of the macroeconomic conditions in the US, right? Uh knowing enough to know uh a ton of money printing is probably not good. Um and seeing all the free money that was going out there, uh was concerning. And so,
(07:14) and also, you know, I'


The Fed-Treasury merger unleashes unprecedented money printing.

### U.S. Government Will Consolidate Power Between Fed and Treasury to Enable Money Printing - Bitcoin Alpha Panel

![This Week's Top Predictions](https://www.tftc.io/content/images/2025/08/terribletrader_Abstract_visualization_of_wealth_transfer_gold_e7c8d092-c521-402a-af4a-5f814cf82096_3.png)

The Bitcoin Alpha team predicts the Trump administration will effectively merge Federal Reserve and Treasury functions to maintain fiscal dominance as deficits exceed 6% of GDP. With interest expense now exceeding $1 trillion annually and representing over 100% of receipts in some months, the government faces an impossible math problem without dramatic monetary intervention.

"They're trying to merge the Fed and the Treasury to make sure that they can achieve their economic goals," I observed during our discussion. The public feuding between Trump and Powell, including the bizarre construction site confrontation, represents theater masking a deeper reality - independent monetary policy cannot survive when the sovereign faces a funding crisis. History shows no government has chosen default over debasement when pushed to the brink. The team expects this consolidation to accelerate money printing beyond anything seen previously, making Bitcoin's fixed supply increasingly attractive.

### Bitcoin Will Reach $1 Million and Gold Parity Within This Cycle - Tuur Demeester

Tuur Demeester believes Bitcoin is heading toward $1 million per coin, which would represent approximately 11 kilograms of gold - the point at which Bitcoin's total market cap equals all the gold in the world. He argues this isn't just another four-year cycle but potentially an extended bull market lasting an additional year to 18 months beyond typical patterns.

"I think that's the next magnet," Tuur explained, borrowing David Bailey's term for psychological price targets that pull markets forward. The confluence of ETF adoption, treasury companies accumulating Bitcoin, and nation-state interest creates unprecedented demand drivers. With real inflation running between 10-15% annually according to his analysis, Bitcoin's role as pristine collateral is becoming undeniable. He notes that even after selling 80,000 Bitcoin recently, the market only dropped 4% - a sign of extraordinary buying strength that suggests this cycle has much further to run.

### Bitcoin Mining Will Become Fully Integrated With Energy Generation Within 10 Years - Phil Geiger

Phil Geiger predicts that Bitcoin mining will evolve from a standalone industry to become completely integrated with energy production at the source. He argues that mining ASICs will function more like demand response tools similar to batteries, but with zero energy loss in transmission and instant monetization capabilities.

"I view it more as Bitcoin mining is more of a component of the energy production industry or a tool that any energy producers can use," Phil explained on Center of Hash. He points to renewable energy operations where 20% of generated electricity goes to waste during peak production as the perfect use case. As the Bitcoin network continues to demand the cheapest possible electricity, miners will naturally migrate to these stranded energy sources. The permissionless nature of the network means any energy producer globally can immediately monetize excess capacity without negotiating contracts or building transmission infrastructure. This transformation will make Bitcoin mining less of an independent industry and more of a standard feature of energy infrastructure.

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Blockspace conducts cutting-edge proprietary research for investors.

The Big Difference Between Bitcoin and Crypto Treasury Companies
----------------------------------------------------------------

Digital Asset Treasury (DAT) companies—public firms existing solely to hold crypto on their balance sheets—are creating two distinct market structures. Bitcoin DATs show tight mNAV (market cap/treasury value) clustering around 1.3x average, while crypto DATs exhibit wild swings from 0.16x to 1.94x.

**Key Bitcoin DATs:**

*   MicroStrategy: 1.58x
*   Semler Scientific: 1.04x
*   Metaplanet: 1.14x

**Crypto DATs show extreme variance:**

*   ETH: BitMine (1.9x) vs Dynamix (0.16x discount)
*   SOL: UPEXI (1.2x) vs DFDV (1.8x)
*   SUI: Mill City Ventures (1.8x)

![This Week's Top Predictions](https://www.tftc.io/content/images/2025/08/image-4.png)

The divergence reflects fundamental differences: Bitcoin DATs benefit from institutional flows and liquidity, while crypto DATs hold more volatile assets with questionable long-term value. Management compensation tied to AUM percentages incentivizes asset accumulation, particularly problematic for less liquid cryptos prone to reflexive price action.

The trend signals market maturation—Bitcoin treasuries evolving into predictable institutional vehicles while crypto treasuries remain speculative plays. As one critic notes: "Does anyone actually want to own SOL in 10 years?"

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[![This Week's Top Predictions](https://www.tftc.io/content/images/2025/03/yt.png)](https://youtube.com/@TFTC?feature=shared&ref=tftc.io)

[![This Week's Top Predictions](https://www.tftc.io/content/images/2025/03/insta.png)](https://www.instagram.com/tftc.io/?ref=tftc.io)

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[![This Week's Top Predictions](https://www.tftc.io/content/images/2025/03/primall.png)](https://primal.net/tftc?ref=tftc.io)


Marty's Bent
------------

![Fund Managers Are Still Missing Bitcoin From The Sidelines](https://www.tftc.io/content/images/2025/08/Screenshot-2025-08-17-at-11.48.05---AM.png)

![Fund Managers Are Still Missing Bitcoin From The Sidelines](https://www.tftc.io/content/images/2025/08/image.png)

![Fund Managers Are Still Missing Bitcoin From The Sidelines](https://www.tftc.io/content/images/2025/08/martybent_a_group_of_wall_street_fund_managers_out_to_a_fancy_l_d398d7c0-f870-4a61-83c8-a82967e1f9b0.png)

Global fund managers are still woefully underweight bitcoin exposure. A recent Bank of America survey, shared and dissected by Zerohedge over the weekend, found that only 9% of managers that responded have any exposure to bitcoin, with 75% reporting that they have zero exposure to the best performing asset of the last 16 years. The weighted average of exposure across the funds that were surveyed is 0.3% of their total assets. In comparison, 48% of the same cohort has an allocation to gold with a 2.2% weighted average allocation.

Read another way: you are still very early.

For some reason, large asset managers are completely missing the monetary revolution unfolding right before their eyes. I want to point out two things with this fact in mind; despite this, the bitcoin ETFs have had the most successful launch in ETF history by breaking speed to _x_ AUM records with ease, and comping the exposure to bitcoin these managers should have to gold is a mistake.

The first point highlights the fact that much of the price movement over the past year has actually been more retail driven than many expect. This time around it's just retail investors with brokerage accounts that were waiting for the proper vehicles to get exposure. Many ETF analysts have estimated that bitcoin ETF flows have been dominated by this type of investor, with up to 75% of the flows since these ETFs launched coming from this cohort. This makes sense when you consider the fact that many wealth managers still have non-solicitation rules in place, which means they can't actively market bitcoin ETFs to their clients, they can only allocate when a client demands it.

That is changing as we speak and you can bet your ass that a flood of managers will be hitting the pavement hard to sell products that get their clients exposure to the best performing asset of all time. It basically sells itself. The flows from this marketing campaign will likely be material.

On the second point, I think it is important to not anchor to the allocations of their total portfolios that the managers surveyed by Bank of America have to gold, or the fact that it was only 48% of managers surveyed. Since bitcoin is still in its monetization phase, more risk-averse managers will likely have a lower overall allocation because it's easier to make up for a lack of exposure with outsized performance, which bitcoin can provide against gold at this point of its lifecycle. Conversely, there will be managers who like risk and want to clobber their peers with out performance, so they could allocate more than their peers would deem appropriate. Lastly, gold has been around for thousands of years and is analog bitcoin. I think it is important to recognize that bitcoin is a digital beast that comes with different and superior properties to gold that can create a lot more value on top of the network.

Smart contracts, liquid collateral, payments infrastructure, and a tight connection with the energy sector, among many other things.

It will be interesting to see when these managers actually wake up and recognize that they need to begin taking bitcoin seriously. As we said last year, for the first 15-years of bitcoin's existence the associated career risk was with being allocated to it at all. We are now firmly living in a period where that career risk has flipped. If you're not allocated you will be called an idiot. Those who move sooner will be deemed less stupid than the laggards.

### Bitcoin's Path to Gold Parity: The Next Major Milestone

Tuur Demeester presents a compelling case for Bitcoin reaching gold parity at 11 kilograms per coin. He highlights how Bitcoin has been consolidating at the 1 kilogram level for nearly five years, following a historical pattern of breaking through psychological gold ratios - first at 1 ounce, then 100 grams, and now approaching the next major milestone. This isn't just about round numbers; it represents a fundamental shift in how markets value digital scarcity versus physical assets.

> "Gold parity could be the next magnet. It doesn't mean it's gonna stick there, but at least it'll be the psychological pull for this cycle." - [Tuur Demeester](https://x.com/TuurDemeester?ref=tftc.io)

The convergence of the $1 million price target with gold parity creates a powerful narrative. As Tuur emphasizes, Bitcoin's superior properties - instant global transferability, perfect divisibility, and programmable features - position it to eventually surpass gold's $13 trillion market cap. This psychological barrier represents the market's final admission that digital monetary technology has superseded precious metals.

Check out the [full podcast here](https://youtu.be/bi9iMEetMK4?ref=tftc.io) for more on treasury companies as collateral, stagflation's impact on real estate, and Bitcoin's extended cycle dynamics.

* * *

### Headlines of the Day

Vancouver Proposes Bitcoin Miners to Heat Pool - via [X](https://x.com/TFTC21/status/1957540402598469953?ref=tftc.io)

China Merchants Bank Launches 24/7 Bitcoin Trading - via [X](https://x.com/TFTC21/status/1957517462666375526?ref=tftc.io)

WiseLink Adopts Bitcoin Treasury Strategy - via [X](https://x.com/BitcoinNewsCom/status/1957509300034670839?ref=tftc.io)

Reborn Coffee Explores Bitcoin Treasury Integration - via [X](https://x.com/TFTC21/status/1957507462980116854?ref=tftc.io)

Volkswagen Singapore Accepts Bitcoin Payments - via [X](https://x.com/TFTC21/status/1957496146504679501?ref=tftc.io)

US Treasury Secretary Praises Stablecoins - via [X](https://x.com/WatcherGuru/status/1957492114960367891?ref=tftc.io)

* * *

How to Position for the Bitcoin Boom: 2025 Edition
--------------------------------------------------

Over 10,000 investors downloaded the original report calling for $120k when bitcoin was just $27k. With that price level now achieved, Tuur is back with the 2025 edition—refreshed for the bull run with new data and insights—**including Adamant Research’s latest price outlook**.

The bull run is heating up—now is the time to take it seriously.

You’ll also get exclusive access to an HD recording of Tuur Demeester’s new 30-minute video presentation, **_Charting Our Way Through Chaos_**, breaking down why this boom might be only just beginning—and what forces could push it to the next level.

[Read the first-ever mid-cycle report from Adamant Research](https://unchnd.co/45ssBVy?ref=tftc.io)

[![Fund Managers Are Still Missing Bitcoin From The Sidelines](https://www.tftc.io/content/images/2025/08/D1--9-.png)](https://unchnd.co/45ssBVy?ref=tftc.io)

[Download Here](https://unchnd.co/45ssBVy?ref=tftc.io)

* * *

_Ten31, the largest bitcoin-focused investor, has deployed $200M across 30+ companies through three funds. I am a Managing Partner at Ten31 and am very proud of the work we are doing. Learn more at_ [ten31.vc/invest](https://ten31.vc/invest?ref=tftc.io)_._

* * *

**Final thought...**

The "screw em" mentality is a good one to have.

* * *

_Download our free browser extension, **Opportunity Cost**:_ [https://www.opportunitycost.app/](https://www.opportunitycost.app/?ref=tftc.io) start thinking in SATS today.

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[![Fund Managers Are Still Missing Bitcoin From The Sidelines](https://www.tftc.io/content/images/2025/03/yt.png)](https://youtube.com/@TFTC?feature=shared&ref=tftc.io)

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Miljan Braticevic argues Nostr and Bitcoin offer the only path to true online sovereignty.

Key Takeaways
-------------

![TFTC - Insider Reveals UK's Secret Plan to Freeze Your Savings & Censor You! | Miljan Braticevic](https://www.tftc.io/content/images/2025/08/Miljan-Braticevic.jpg)

The episode highlights the UK’s escalating internet controls, age verification laws, VPN bans, and censorship, and their implications for personal freedom, framing open protocols like Nostr as the only real alternative. Unlike closed platforms dominated by corporations, Nostr distributes power across thousands of relays, giving users sovereign control over their identity, money, and speech. Braticevic points to innovative use cases such as Jack Dorsey’s mesh-network “Bit Chat,” AI-driven app creation, and Bitcoin micropayments, arguing that Nostr’s openness, not just censorship resistance, is the true breakthrough. He likens the ecosystem’s small but passionate user base to Bitcoin’s early days, noting that its resilience and flexibility make it uniquely suited to outlast and outperform closed networks.

Best Quotes
-----------

“Once you go down this path of trying to control everything, where does it end? We want to be free.”

“Open protocols give us that chance to fight back and resist… with closed platforms, one rule change is the end of the story.”

“We’re not fighting the existing system, we’re building a new one and enabling people to join if they wish.”

“This type of architecture is extremely resilient and hard to stop… Nostr is about building an internet worth having.”

“Nostr in my mind has no competitors. If you want a truly sovereign network where users hold the keys to their existence, this is it.”

“The killer feature of Nostr isn’t censorship resistance, it’s openness. Data can be recombined in endless ways to build experiences impossible in closed silos.”

“AI, Bitcoin, and Nostr together form an extremely exciting intersection. AI agents will need sovereign money and open protocols to function.”

“We want Nostr to be the best place for creators of high-signal, long-form content… with open monetization models that work across clients.”

“The passion of Nostr’s early adopters reminds me of Bitcoin in the early days, it’s the strongest signal that this will endure.”

“If you’re in the UK or anywhere facing these policies, get on Nostr before you need it. You already need it.”

Conclusion
----------

This episode underscores the urgent stakes of today’s digital landscape. As Western governments like the UK pursue aggressive censorship and control, the choice becomes stark: submit to closed systems where accounts and speech exist at the mercy of authorities, or embrace open protocols that guarantee sovereignty. Miljan Braticevic presents Nostr as the foundation for a new internet, one built on openness, interoperability, and Bitcoin-backed incentives. Though adoption is still small compared to mainstream platforms, the passion, creativity, and steady infrastructure growth mirror Bitcoin’s own trajectory. The episode’s core message is clear: resilience and freedom must be built proactively. By adopting Nostr, supporting open-source tools, and experimenting with these systems now, individuals and creators can prepare for a future where sovereignty over money and speech is not optional but essential.

Timestamps
----------

0:00 - Intro
0:31 - Creating freedom apps
12:29 - Who runs the relays? Not comparable to Bluesky
17:53 - Bitkey & Unchained
19:34 - Boostrapped by bitcoiners
24:47 - Primal features tease
33:52 - Obscura & Opportunity Cost
35:17 - UK going full Orwell
42:00 - AI - open source models and open data
54:23 - Nostr as marketplace - also the Great Intersection
59:49 - Looking forward over the next year
1:04:32 - Fountain
1:14:45 - Primal publisher

Transcript
----------

(00:00) Once you go down this path of trying to control everything, where does it end? We want to be free. People who like to censor and all these monstrous organizations, they're doing their thing and we're doing our thing. We're just building a new system and enabling people to join them as they wish. The majority of the internet is controlled by five corporations.
(00:20) Open protocols give us that chance to kind of fight back and resist us. The bar for usability is being set by these multi-billion dollar companies who've been at it for, you know, 10 years plus. \[Music\] Million, is it me or is the world going crazy? I guess those two are not mutually exclusive, right? But uh the world's getting crazier by the day for sure.
(00:47) Yeah, more interesting, more chaotic. Yeah, it feels like uh feels like we're we're at like a hard not a hard fork, but like a fork in the road and there's things are incredibly exciting, powerful, and optimistic. And then you have other things like uh I originally reached out was like three or four weeks ago you were on a little vacation.
(01:21) So we scheduled it for this but it was talk about the UK aid verification laws censorship and the importance of open protocols like Noster but things have just escalated since then. They want to ban VPNs now. Totally. I mean once you go down this path of trying to control everything like where does it end? You you kind of really need to uh you know close all the exits as they like to say all the escape routes. Yeah.
(01:46) Well, I mean it ends uh I don't want to smirk here but it ends typically with campsuffering mass death if you continue continue down the path. That's why it's important to leverage the tools that we have today in terms of open protocols um and the communications technology to get the message out. That's the big agreed.
(02:13) That's the big question I have is like are we at a point in human history where we have all these tools at our fingertips? Can we actually use them to prevent at least in western society the devolution into pure Orwellian socialist communist authoritarian hellscape? Well, the open protocols give us that chance, right? Like if if we're clos if we're using the legacy closed systems, we just don't have a chance, right? Like because that's a single throat to choke.
(02:47) If uh any government uh makes any new rule that forbids uh you know certain type of speech um if you're dealing with a closed platform it's the end of the story you know they'll just have to tell X or whoever you know close this down and companies need to apply comply and that's the end of it that content already exists only exists behind their kind of wall in their walled garden since they fully control it they and they certainly can comply and the governments know that.
(03:22) Uh when it comes to open protocols, I don't think we automatically win by default just because we're using open protocols. Open protocols give us that chance to kind of fight back and resist this. But there's still quite a bit of work uh that needs to be done um by a lot of people to um to win, so to speak. And I'm not like super gloomy about all of these things that are, you know, that we're seeing everywhere.
(03:50) Um, I kind of look at it more from the point of view of, hey, this is, you know, this is a test for us. This is something that's uh that's giving us an opportunity to grow, to uh step up, assert our own sovereignty uh over our online lives, over our wealth, our money, our transactions, and so forth.
(04:15) Um there are a number of us who build tools uh for people who wish to step up and use them and uh like I said we we get that opportunity and it's up to us to see how we're going to use the tools uh to assert our our sovereignty. Yeah. Somebody on the the bleeding edge of the open protocol that is Noster, what are what are some of the unique ways you've observed people not only leveraging Primal but just leveraging Noster to really stick a eye in the or needle in the eye of sensors or creating cool applications that that leverage Nostra relays in some way to create
(04:57) robust applications that that are very hard to censor. Yeah. I don't even think it's about sticking a needle in the eye of anyone, you know. It's just like we we want to uh be free. uh we you know the people who out there who would like to censor and all these you know monstrous organizations they're doing their thing and we're doing our thing.
(05:20) We're we're not necessarily fighting the existing system. We're just building a new system and uh enabling people to join them as they wish. Right. And to answer your question, lots of new stuff being built all the time. Uh a lot of it is really exciting. Um, you know, not even talk about Primal.
(05:44) So, outside of Primal, the the cool things we've seen on Nostra recently, um, is, uh, for example, Jack Dorsey's Bit Chat, uh, app, which he vibe coded over a weekend, which uses uh, Bluetooth enabled mesh network to communicate with devices that are in close proximity to you.
(06:13) close proximity meaning you know 20 30 mters maybe 100 ft or so and then you know you can so you can kind of relay messages directly uh to one another without even needing an internet connection and then when any one of these users gets an internet connection they can you know upload those signed messages to any relay and then replicate them further.
(06:40) So this is a really neat use case which I think uh this kind of network topology I think is extremely um appropriate for Nostra. It's Noster is perfect for this because the protocol is so simple and it's comprised just out of signed messages and each of these signed messages exist can exist on its own. kind of has meaning just uh each individual message on its own kind of stands uh on the firm legs so to speak so to speak.
(07:13) Uh so the more of these messages you have the more you sense you can make out of the network and uh you can broadcast them you know to those that are close to you. You can broadcast them to relays. You can index them. Index them and so forth. If they get deleted from any relays, you can repost them to other relays. This t


Operation British Freedom may be a necessary military endeavor if things continue at this pace.

Marty's Bent
------------

![England Has Gone Mad](https://www.tftc.io/content/images/2025/08/martybent_a_british_police_officer_holding_his_billy_club_with__c09ed852-25f5-4801-b71c-246739dbe046-1.png)

If you're not paying attention to what is currently unfolding in England, you probably should be. The country is devolving into a complete dystopian hellscape as the government attempts to stifle speech as backlash against immigration policy, the handling of Pakistani rape gangs, inflation and an overall material decline in quality of life pushes British citizens to the edge.

Over the last couple of years the government has instituted hate speech laws that have led to British citizens being thrown in cages for speaking their minds. These efforts have escalated this Summer in the form of "Age Verification" requirements across the internet in an attempt to "save the children" from the dangers of being able to access information that is not government approved. In reality, age verification requirements aren't in place to protect the children, they're in place to identify every individual using the internet so that they can be tracked and easily brought to heel if they step out of line.

This is a gross infringement on the inalienable human right to speak your mind anonymously or pseudo-anonymously. There is no way to hold governments to account if you can't speak your mind openly and anonymously. Ideas should be able to stand on their own merit, no matter who is speaking them. Bringing ideas into a conversation anonymously is the best way to ensure that an idea stands on merit and is not accepted because of the individual that is sharing the idea. Conversely, if the idea is so good that people broadly agree with it and that idea happens to be in conflict with the narrative that authorities are spinning the only way they can stifle it and ensure that they get their way is to uncover who is behind the idea and make an example of them by throwing them in a cage. Ultimately, to send a chilling effect that prevents others from spreading the idea.

This is completely anti-human, authoritarian bullshit that should be met with vehement push back. Privacy is a human right and people should be able to anonymously hold their government to account if they so choose.

The British government is doubling down. Yesterday, England's "Children's Commissioner" (holy Orwellian naming!) joined the BBC to put forth the argument that age verification requirements should be levied on VPN providers. For those who are unaware, VPNs allow individuals to use the internet without doxxing their IP addresses to the websites and apps they visit. If you were to force VPNs to collect age verification information it would render their very valuable services moot. Any self-respecting and customer-conscious VPN provider would have to immediately reject any attempts by the UK government to force these verification requirements on them.

These age restriction requirements that the UK government is thrusting on companies is nothing more than lazy bullying tactics that turn companies into forced surveillance companies. honeypots and snitches that do nothing but harm their end users and empower a central government that has gone mad with power as it attempts to silence critics.

VPNs are critical to being able to browse the internet privately, which is an inalienable human right.

I pray that the people of England have the intestinal fortitude to fight back against these heinous encroachments on civil liberties and put their government in place.

### Supply Shock Could Drive Unprecedented Price Discovery

Tuur Demeester laid out a compelling case for why bitcoin faces an unprecedented supply squeeze. He explained how treasury companies like MicroStrategy are accumulating massive positions without any intention to sell, while long-term holders aren't moving their coins despite new all-time highs. The on-chain data he presented shows whales holding steady, with no significant distribution events exceeding 100,000 coins this cycle - a stark contrast to previous bull markets where we'd see 400,000 coin movements.

> "If you have more risk appetite, you can still stay in bitcoin. You go to the treasury companies" - [Tuur Demeester](https://x.com/TuurDemeester?ref=tftc.io)

I found his point about collateralized lending particularly fascinating. As Bitcoin becomes pristine collateral for multi-year structured credit products, these coins effectively disappear from liquid markets. Combine this with ETF flows creating persistent one-way demand and tax-advantaged strategies that discourage selling, and we're witnessing multiple forces simultaneously constraining supply. This isn't your typical four-year cycle anymore.

Check out the [full podcast here](https://youtu.be/bi9iMEetMK4?ref=tftc.io) for more on elongated cycles, gold parity targets and nation-state adoption strategies.

* * *

### Headlines of the Day

Trump Blasts Powell for Destroying Housing Market - via [X](https://x.com/WatcherGuru/status/1957936265489445276?ref=tftc.io)

SEC Chair to Implement Crypto Reforms Quickly - via [X](https://x.com/TFTC21/status/1957905605500563706?ref=tftc.io)

Harvard Economists Wrong by Six Figures - via [X](https://x.com/TFTC21/status/1957904767210119583?ref=tftc.io)

* * *

### Obscura – The World’s Best VPN Built by Bitcoiners

Created by Carl Dong (former Bitcoin Core contributor), unlike other VPNs, it _can’t_ log your activity by design, delivering verifiable privacy you can trust.

[![England Has Gone Mad](https://www.tftc.io/content/images/2025/08/Obsura-3.png)](https://obscura.net/?ref=tftc.io)

[USE CODE TFTC25](https://obscura.net/?ref=tftc.io)

**Outsmarts internet censorship**: works even on the most restrictive Wi-Fi networks where other VPNs fail.
**Pay with bitcoin over Lightning:** better privacy and low fees.
**No email required:** accounts are generated like bitcoin wallets.
**No trade-offs**: browse freely with fast, reliable speeds.

**Exclusive Deal for TFTC Listeners:**
Sign up at [obscura.net](https://obscura.net/?ref=tftc.io) and use code **TFTC25** for **25% off your first 12 months**.

Now available on **macOS, iOS, and WireGuard**, with more platforms coming soon — so your privacy travels with you wherever you go.

* * *

_Ten31, the largest bitcoin-focused investor, has deployed $200M across 30+ companies through three funds. I am a Managing Partner at Ten31 and am very proud of the work we are doing. Learn more at_ [ten31.vc/invest](https://ten31.vc/invest?ref=tftc.io)_._

* * *

**Final thought...**

The relationship between big pharma companies, schools and the federal and state governments is absolutely abhorrent.

* * *

_Download our free browser extension, **Opportunity Cost**:_ [https://www.opportunitycost.app/](https://www.opportunitycost.app/?ref=tftc.io) start thinking in SATS today.

_Get this newsletter sent to your inbox daily:_ [_https://www.tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/_](https://www.tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/)

_Subscribe to our YouTube channels and follow us on Nostr and X:_

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[![England Has Gone Mad](https://www.tftc.io/content/images/2025/03/yt.png)](https://youtube.com/@TFTC?feature=shared&ref=tftc.io)

[![England Has Gone Mad](https://www.tftc.io/content/images/2025/03/insta.png)](https://www.instagram.com/tftc.io/?ref=tftc.io)

[![England Has Gone Mad](https://www.tftc.io/content/images/2025/03/twitter.png)](https://twitter.com/TFTC21?ref=tftc.io)

[![England Has Gone Mad](https://www.tftc.io/content/images/2025/03/primall.png)](https://primal.net/tftc?ref=tftc.io)


Marty's Bent
------------

![The System is More Levered Than Ever](https://www.tftc.io/content/images/2025/08/image-1.png)

via [StockMarket.News](https://x.com/_Investinq/status/1958554460566806750?ref=tftc.io)

![The System is More Levered Than Ever](https://www.tftc.io/content/images/2025/08/martybent_a_well_dressed_man_driving_past_data_centers_in_the_d_31472b71-a9ee-4b2a-8705-c3c1f0f6ef40.png)

While everyone and their mother is focused on Jackson Hole in anticipation of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's speech later this morning I want to draw your attention to the chart above. The financial system is more levered than it has ever been at the same time that the pressure on Jerome Powell and the Fed to lower interest rates and inflation is starting to rear its head again.

If I'm being honest, I'm not sure exactly how to read this. My intuition says that leverage is high because of the stealth stimulus that has been entering the market over the course of the last few years via the Treasury hammering issuance on the short end of the yield curve. Yes, in nominal terms margin debt is at an all time high, but if you look at it in real terms it is still below 2021 levels. Though, it is quickly approaching those levels.

![The System is More Levered Than Ever](https://www.tftc.io/content/images/2025/08/image-2.png)

via [StockMarket.News](https://x.com/_Investinq/status/1958554530322264345?ref=tftc.io)

The question lingering in my mind is whether or not we see a melt up in financial assets and leverage alongside with it, or will gravity come into play at some point in the short to medium-term and force a material correction? When you consider the Trump administration's focus on AI - it has been explicitly identified as a national security issue that necessitates a "win at all costs" response, coupled with the strong desire to keep the Republican majority in the House and the Senate in next year's mid-term elections, the prospect of a melt up scenario seems somewhat likely. One thing is certain, the Trump administration is certainly going to try.

When they do inevitably try, we will see if we are truly moving into new territory because all of the indicators that signal a market top are getting very red and very loud. Just take a look at cyclically-adjusted P/E ratios.

![The System is More Levered Than Ever](https://www.tftc.io/content/images/2025/08/image-3.png)

via Simon White, Bloomberg

Regardless of what ultimately happens, this is fundamentally bullish for bitcoin in the medium to long-term. If we get the melt up scenario, bitcoin will benefit massively as individuals, investors, institutions and idiots alike seek safe haven in hard assets. If gravity comes into play, bitcoin is likely to correct a bit before the dust settles. At which point, many people will be starkly reminded of the insanity of the incumbent financial and monetary systems yet again and a new wave of bitcoin adopters will enter the market. Joining the steadfast hodlers who understand what they own.

Stay vigilant out there, freaks.

### Bitcoin's Energy Consumption is Not Waste

Phil Geiger makes a compelling case on Parker Lewis's Center of Hash that Bitcoin's energy consumption serves a vital purpose - it's the first monetary system to solve the problem of money printing through absolute scarcity. As Phil explains, Bitcoin's 21 million supply cap represents humanity's first truly fixed monetary supply, making it fundamentally different from every other form of money that can be debased. This scarcity only works because it's secured by real-world energy consumption, creating an unbreakable link between the digital and physical realms.

> "Money is the most fundamental form of communication that humans have. You can use money to communicate value across different cultures without even speaking the same language." - [Phil Geiger](https://x.com/phil_geiger?lang=en&ref=tftc.io)

Phil contrasts Bitcoin with other cryptocurrencies, arguing their energy use is wasteful because they don't solve any fundamental problem. Bitcoin's energy consumption directly secures the network against manipulation and enforces the monetary policy that makes it valuable. Parker reinforces this throughout, noting how this direct use of energy for monetary security is unprecedented - unlike gold mining or Federal Reserve operations, Bitcoin creates an explicit, measurable relationship between energy and monetary integrity.

Check out the [full podcast here](https://youtu.be/bi9iMEetMK4?ref=tftc.io) for more on mining pool centralization, fee market dynamics and Bitcoin's self-regulating difficulty adjustment.

* * *

### Headlines of the Day

DOJ Won't Target Decentralized Crypto Developers - via [X](https://x.com/WatcherGuru/status/1958607763249991972?ref=tftc.io)

DOJ Demands Fed Fire Governor Lisa Cook - via [X](https://x.com/WatcherGuru/status/1958595395514237300?ref=tftc.io)

Pennsylvania Introduces Bitcoin Ownership Ban Bill - via [X](https://x.com/TFTC21/status/1958606584567013859?ref=tftc.io)

Buenos Aires Accepts Bitcoin for City Payments - via [X](https://x.com/TFTC21/status/1958571300261437924?ref=tftc.io)

Treasury Proposes Digital IDs for DeFi Transactions - via [X](https://x.com/TFTC21/status/1958563270908170411?ref=tftc.io)

* * *

### Obscura – The World’s Best VPN Built by Bitcoiners

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[![The System is More Levered Than Ever](https://www.tftc.io/content/images/2025/08/Obsura-3.png)](https://obscura.net/?ref=tftc.io)

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* * *

_Ten31, the largest bitcoin-focused investor, has deployed $200M across 30+ companies through three funds. I am a Managing Partner at Ten31 and am very proud of the work we are doing. Learn more at_ [ten31.vc/invest](https://ten31.vc/invest?ref=tftc.io)_._

* * *

**Final thought...**

The hurricane swells are epic on the East Coast right now.

Enjoy your weekend, freaks.

* * *

_Download our free browser extension, **Opportunity Cost**:_ [https://www.opportunitycost.app/](https://www.opportunitycost.app/?ref=tftc.io) start thinking in SATS today.

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[![The System is More Levered Than Ever](https://www.tftc.io/content/images/2025/03/yt.png)](https://youtube.com/@TFTC?feature=shared&ref=tftc.io)

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Bitcoin’s 21 million supply secures value by enforcing scarcity, tying money to energy, and preventing inflation or tampering.

Key Takeaways
-------------

![Center of Hash - Why Bitcoin’s 21 Million Supply is Perfect | Phil Geiger](https://www.tftc.io/content/images/2025/08/Phil-Geiger.webp)

Bitcoin’s fixed supply of 21 million coins is the foundation of its value, tying digital scarcity to real-world energy use through proof-of-work. Mining isn’t wasteful, it enforces monetary integrity by ensuring issuance, transaction finality, and decentralization. The difficulty adjustment creates a self-regulating system that always maintains profit incentives, while shrinking subsidies transition security costs to transaction fees through a competitive fee market. Attempts to introduce inflation would destroy Bitcoin’s core value proposition, as its strength lies in neutrality, permissionless participation, and unchangeable scarcity.

Best Quotes
-----------

“Wall Street thinks it’s dipping a toe into Bitcoin, but really it’s crossing the event horizon into a black hole.”

“Bitcoin is the very first form of money that is absolutely scarce with a fixed supply of 21 million. Nobody can create more Bitcoin.”

“Mining isn’t its own industry, it’s a tool for energy producers, like a demand-response battery that monetizes excess power.”

“The only external resource Bitcoin requires is electricity. Security scales linearly with value through the difficulty adjustment.”

“A good form of money has to be neutral. With Bitcoin, as long as you have energy and internet, you can participate without asking permission.”

“Block space is scarce by design. The bidding process for transactions ensures a fee market will always exist.”

“Inflation can never be a solution. The entire reason Bitcoin has value is because its supply is fixed at 21 million.”

“Centralization isn’t binary, it’s a spectrum. Bitcoin must decentralize in every way possible: users, nodes, miners, and ownership distribution.”

“If there’s ever a fork or bug, rational actors will always choose the version that preserves the fixed supply. That’s the social consensus.”

“Decades of economic theory debated what good money should be. Bitcoin makes it a market test, opt in voluntarily, and the consensus is clear.”

Conclusion
----------

The discussion reinforces that Bitcoin’s power lies in its immutability: 21 million is non-negotiable. Energy expenditure secures the network, decentralization distributes trust, and economic incentives ensure survival without inflation or external intervention. While risks like mining pool centralization exist, Bitcoin’s permissionless structure and market-driven consensus provide resilience. Ultimately, Bitcoin succeeds because it replaces trust in institutions with incorruptible rules, aligning all participants around one unshakable principle: absolute scarcity.

Timestamps
----------

0:00 - Paper Bitcoin Summer & Wall Street's Bitcoin Black Hole
3:28 - Bitcoin as Shock Therapy for Zombie Markets
5:14 - Introduction to Bitcoin's Economic Incentives
8:30 - Why Bitcoin's Energy Use Solves Money Printing
10:43 - Energy Demand from Block Processing & Coin Issuance
16:12 - Permissionless Energy Sales to Bitcoin Network
21:54 - The Always-Profitable Mining Mechanism
27:03 - Difficulty Adjustment & Self-Regulating Markets
32:29 - Bitcoin's Closed System Independence
40:27 - From Mining Subsidy to Transaction Fee Market
46:15 - Block Space Scarcity Creates Fee Competition
53:29 - Why Inflation Can Never Fix Bitcoin

Transcript
----------

(00:04) Bill Gyer. Paper Bitcoin summer. Summer of Phil. Which one is it? Well, every summer is summer of Phil. So, this summer I think is paper Bitcoin summer. Um, I'm I'm enjoying it quite a bit. I think it's a really unique time in Bitcoin, the Bitcoinification of Wall Street, if you will.
(00:29) It's not my my favorite topic in the world is the financialization all that, but it is pretty wild to me to see the explosion of paper Bitcoin summer. Yeah, I should have known. Yeah, I wrote the piece Bitcoin is the great defantization that there there would be some financialization of of Bitcoin before fiat ends and then true defancialization happens. But I wouldn't say I was wrong about that.
(00:56) That's just, you know, after Pierre wrote speculative attack in 2014, we should have we should have known that this was inevitable. And uh maybe that wasn't going to take this form, but it's also perfectly logical. So, I love it. Wall Street and all the kind of financial markets around the world, they feel or they feel like they're they're dipping their toe into Bitcoin right now, but Bitcoin is a black hole.
(01:15) And so, actually, they're kind of crossing the event horizon uh without even realizing it. So, I'm I'm a huge fan of all of these different products, but yeah, I think it is it is a a short time period where Bitcoin is going to be rapidly financializing before, you know, to your point, to your paper, things rapidly defancialize.
(01:33) Yeah. I I love that it's d drawing people in like Jim Chanos and that there's probably a bunch of people in Tradfi that are looking at it saying that ah this is all a scam and and what they don't realize is that the bottomless pit of fiat and the arbitragees in the fiat world is actually what's creating it.
(01:57) Um so you know if that capital was going to go to somewhere better to go to Bitcoin than some zombie company that was going to be extended just by the fiat system. Absolutely. And I was looking at a chart uh I think it was Crucius's chart of you know Bitcoin at uh $2 trillion as an asset class and then uh the different financial markets that are you know 100x the size of Bitcoin and somebody plotted all of the different uh Michael Sailor you know preferred stock products that he's launching and how it taps into these different markets. Uh and I think that's really fascinating. It's Yeah, it's just Wall Street, you know, getting
(02:31) sucked into the Bitcoin black hole. They think they're in charge, but, you know, we'll see. Yeah, it was it was interesting. I listened there was a podcast that Michael Sailor did where he was in person. the like I don't I didn't recognize guys who were interviewing him but when he he basically gave a 30inut explanation of how they they they basically unintentionally stumbled into this whole dynamic and that it was also and he connected the ideas of why Bitcoin's volatility was particularly attractive to these markets
(03:04) and and that um that it really wasn't a grand, you know, it wasn't an idea that he had when he started getting, you know, interested in Bitcoin and got orange spilled. It was something that they issued a convertible bond and then through that process realized that there was this whole arbitrage opportunity to suck in and tap more capital. So, totally.
(03:27) And I think what Bitcoin is doing right now to a lot of markets around the world, and I think you've spoken about it, you've written about this, a lot of markets are kind of zombie markets, right? they're they're running out of steam and that's why the money printing has to just continually happen because it's just like they can't they can't get the growth that they need and Bitcoin is like a shock to the system, right? It's like an EKG, right? If the if the patient is is flatlining and dying like as soon as you give a little Bitcoin exposure to a market, you see like rapid uh rapid adoption and and
(03:59) you know, not even adoption, but just like attention, short sellers, people going long, like all kinds of focus just goes right there to Bitcoin. I think it's really cool. Yeah. And that that's one thing that he also talks about with that the short sellers serve a purpose for him that they will then be buyers of his stock when they need him to be buyers of the stock.
(04:25) And so I think that uh and and that will be what we you know not that specifically but talking about the incentives of Bitcoin that create all that frenzy that ultimately create the demand for is what we we'll talk about today. And appreciate you coming on the show. This is episode four. The the first episode will actually be released next week.
(04:43) So by the time this one comes out people have gotten to listen to a few. But this this podcast is focused on mining and energy and all and the convergence of Bitcoin. and the money side of it. And the the first few episodes were were talking about mining in kind of a broad sense. The last episode we went deep on a specific strategy um in the mining ecosystem, specifically upstream natural gas, mining off of upstream natural gas.
(05:11) You're not a Bitcoin miner, are you? I'm not. You're not. I've I've done it just uh as a hobby just on a computer just to to try it out, see how it works. But unfortunately, I I rationalize myself out of becoming a Bitcoin miner. And maybe we can talk about that today. I did the same. Um but you're what you at least in my opinion what I would consider you as an expert in the economic incentives.
(05:35) Neither of us are economists, but we understand the economics of Bitcoin very well. And I think that one of the things that is easily lost in the Bitcoin mining sphere, particularly for people who are legacy energy professionals that see Bitcoin solving problems in the energy sphere, that those make sense.
(06:06) But then when they zoom out and then relook at Bitcoin and what is creating all of this demand for power, they then get reloc. So I think um and this won't be the only discussion on the incentives of Bitcoin, but I think uh or not, I think you had written an article back when we were still both at Unchained. I also think that you were my my first hire at Unchained potentially. Yeah. I mean I I I got the job, you know, in 2019.
(06:32) I just DM'd you on Twitter. I think I actually had heard you on either it was either what Bitcoin did or TFTC uh and just reached out to you and that rest is history. Yeah, we we were very close to hiring somebody else and the


Japan’s Financial Services Agency (FSA) is preparing a reform to align crypto taxation with that of equities, paving the way for spot ETFs. The post Japan moves toward a 20% flat tax on cryptocurrencies appeared first on Atlas21.

**_Japan’s Financial Services Agency (FSA) is preparing a reform to align crypto taxation with that of equities, paving the way for spot ETFs._**
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The **FSA** is planning a tax reform that could reshape how Japanese investors approach digital assets. [According](https://www.nikkei.com/article/DGXZQOUB216I60R20C25A8000000/) to the business daily _Nikkei_, the Japanese FSA intends to submit a proposal to revise the tax code for the 2026 fiscal year. The goal is to align the tax treatment of cryptocurrencies with that of listed **stocks**.

The official request for revision is expected to be submitted by the end of August, _Nikkei_ sources report. If approved, the reform would take effect in the 2026 fiscal year.

The reform introduces a **20% flat tax** on gains from cryptocurrency trading. Currently, crypto income is classified as _“miscellaneous income”_ and subject to a progressive rate that can reach **up to 55%,** excluding local taxes.

### **Industry requests**

Crypto companies have submitted specific proposals to make Japan’s tax environment more competitive. Among them is the introduction of a **three-year carry-forward mechanism** for losses, which would allow investors to offset future profits with past losses.

### **Outlook for spot ETFs**

The new framework goes beyond tax revisions. The FSA is also working to facilitate the launch of domestic **crypto ETFs** by Japanese firms, aiming to strengthen the competitiveness of the country’s digital asset industry.

In parallel with the tax reform, the agency is preparing a bill for 2026 that would bring cryptocurrencies under the supervision of the **Financial Instruments and Exchange Act**, classifying them as _“financial products”_ rather than _“means of payment”_ regulated by the Payment Services Act.

### **First regulated stablecoin**

In a broader context of openness toward digital assets, the FSA is also preparing to approve Japan’s first **yen-denominated regulated stablecoin**. **JPYC**, issued by the Tokyo-based fintech of the same name, plans to release stablecoins worth 1 trillion yen (about $6.78 billion) over three years. The approval, expected in the fall, represents another key step in Japan’s strategy to promote crypto adoption.

The post [Japan moves toward a 20% flat tax on cryptocurrencies](https://atlas21.com/japan-moves-toward-a-20-flat-tax-on-cryptocurrencies/) appeared first on [Atlas21](https://atlas21.com).


The Philippine Congress is moving toward the adoption of Bitcoin as a national strategic asset with a proposed accumulation plan. The post Philippines: proposal for a 10,000 BTC strategic reserve with a 20-year lock-up appeared first on Atlas21.

**_The Philippine Congress is moving toward the adoption of Bitcoin as a national strategic asset with a proposed accumulation plan._**
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The **Philippines** could become one of the first nations to adopt Bitcoin as a national strategic reserve. A new legislative proposal introduced by Congressman **Miguel Luis Villafuerte** outlines a plan for the acquisition and long-term custody of bitcoin.

The [proposed law](https://docs.congress.hrep.online/legisdocs/basic_20/HB00421.pdf), called **House Bill 421**, establishes a detailed framework for creating a strategic reserve. The plan requires the Philippine central bank, **Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas**, to purchase **2,000** bitcoins annually over **five consecutive years**, thereby reaching the final target of **10,000** BTC.

The proposal emphasizes the importance of secure custody. The acquired bitcoins must be held in **cold storage**, an offline method that provides protection against cyberattacks and digital theft.

The bill requires quarterly reserve audits by independent third parties. These reports must be published online to ensure transparency. The proposal also explicitly protects private property rights, affirming that individuals and businesses remain free to buy, hold, and trade bitcoin without government interference.

The 20-year lock-up period established by the bill highlights a long-term vision that reflects confidence in Bitcoin’s future price growth. During this period, Philippine authorities will be prohibited from selling or exchanging the bitcoins, except for the repayment of national public debt.

At the end of the lock-up period, the central bank governor may sell up to **10%** of the bitcoins in any two-year period.

Congressman Villafuerte emphasized that _“the increasing significance of BTC in ensuring financial and economic prowess across continents makes it imperative for the country to take significant legislative measures.”_

According to **Bitbo** [data](https://bitbo.io/treasuries/countries/), world governments collectively hold **517,296** bitcoins, corresponding to **2.46%** of the total supply capped at around 21 million units. However, their reserves mainly come from confiscations and legal seizures.

The post [Philippines: proposal for a 10,000 BTC strategic reserve with a 20-year lock-up](https://atlas21.com/philippines-proposal-for-a-10000-btc-strategic-reserve/) appeared first on [Atlas21](https://atlas21.com).


The company introduces a modular mining system and open source management software. The post Block presents Proto Rig and Proto Fleet: new mining solutions appeared first on Atlas21.

_**The company introduces a modular mining system and open source management software.**_
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Proto**, a division of Block, Inc. led by Jack Dorsey, has announced the launch of two new products for the bitcoin mining sector: **Proto Rig**, a modular mining system, and **Proto Fleet**, free and open source management software. The presentation took place at **Core Scientific**‘s facility in Dalton, Georgia, where some Proto Rig devices are already operational.

Proto Rig differentiates itself from traditional mining hardware through a modular design that focuses on **durability** and **repairability**. Unlike classic miners, this system allows operators to replace individual hashboards without having to change the entire unit, the company stated.

![](https://i0.wp.com/atlas21.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/69.jpg?resize=693%2C473&ssl=1)

According to Block, this feature could extend hardware lifespan from 3-5 years to 10 years, with an estimated cost reduction of **15-20%** for each upgrade cycle. The system is designed to allow on-site repairs without the use of specialized tools, the company declared.

**Thomas Templeton**, Block’s hardware lead, explained:

> > “Machines break often, are hard to repair, expensive and time-consuming to upgrade, and don’t make the most efficient use of power or space. With Proto Rig, we set out to change all of that–and contribute to hardware decentralization in the process.”

From a performance standpoint, Proto Rig offers energy efficiency of **14.1 J/TH** and a hashrate of **819 TH/s**.

![](https://i0.wp.com/atlas21.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/unnamed.jpg?resize=560%2C324&ssl=1)

### **Proto Fleet: management software**

Alongside the hardware, Proto presented **Proto Fleet**, a free software platform for managing mining operations. The software integrates **monitoring**, **diagnostic**, and **maintenance** functions into a single interface. Proto Rig and Proto Fleet will offer **Stratum V2** support from launch.

Proto Fleet is distributed as open source software, making it accessible to operators of any size in the sector.

The post [Block presents Proto Rig and Proto Fleet: new mining solutions](https://atlas21.com/block-presents-proto-rig-and-proto-fleet-new-mining-solutions/) appeared first on [Atlas21](https://atlas21.com).


There is a way to transfer money directly to a bank account by sending a BTC transaction: the Bull Bitcoin service. The post Paying to an IBAN… in Bitcoin appeared first on Atlas21.

[![](https://i0.wp.com/atlas21.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/Banner-Bull-Bitcoin-ENG.png?resize=976%2C75&ssl=1)](https://app.bullbitcoin.com/registration/atlas21)

**_There is a way to transfer money directly to a bank account by sending a BTC transaction: the Bull Bitcoin service._**
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Despite it being possible to exchange goods and services in bitcoin since its early years, its adoption as a payment method remains still limited. What Bitcoin is facing, and will have to continue to face in the coming years, is the process of monetary evolution.

Today, in fact, there are still few businesses that directly accept bitcoin payments. In most cases, bitcoiners find themselves forced to convert their funds into fiat currency to be able to make daily payments. However, this barrier is starting to fade thanks to the emergence of new services.

Over the years, the market has witnessed the birth of various services specialized in facilitating bitcoin payments. Among the pioneers in the sector stands out **Bitrefill**, a platform that allows purchasing gift cards and topping up services using bitcoin directly. Over time, similar solutions have developed that allow paying for various goods and services.

Last January, when **Bull Bitcoin** extended its services to the European market, a new possibility was made available. The Canadian broker, known for its Bitcoin-only philosophy and strictly non-custodial approach, offers a solution that **allows paying any service or entity that accepts bank transfers in euros using bitcoin directly**. This means being able to make payments to suppliers, public entities, companies, individuals and even top up debit cards linked to an IBAN, all without ever having to manually convert bitcoin into fiat currency.

### **How it works**

The process for making payments through Bull Bitcoin is simple and intuitive. Here is the step-by-step procedure:

1.  Account creation

The first step consists of [registering](https://app.bullbitcoin.com/registration/atlas21) on Bull Bitcoin. The process is as follows:

*   visit the Bull Bitcoin [website](https://www.bullbitcoin.com/);
*   click on “Sign up”;
*   enter the required data (email and password);
*   confirm the email and complete the account verification.

2\. Access to the “Send fiat payments” function

Once you have logged into your verified account:

*   navigate to the main menu;
*   click on “**Send fiat payments**“;
*   this function will allow you to use your bitcoins for payments in euros to any European IBAN.

![](https://i0.wp.com/atlas21.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/901.jpg?resize=501%2C479&ssl=1)

3\. Entering recipient data

The system will require you to enter the beneficiary’s information:

*   **recipient’s IBAN**: enter the complete IBAN code of the service or person who must receive the payment or select an existing beneficiary;
*   **beneficiary’s name**: specify the exact name as registered with the bank.

![](https://i0.wp.com/atlas21.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/902.jpg?resize=519%2C460&ssl=1)

![](https://i0.wp.com/atlas21.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/903.jpg?resize=517%2C631&ssl=1)

4\. Defining the amount and completing the payment

The last step of the process is as follows:

*   **enter the amount in euros** you wish to send (Bull Bitcoin will detect the exact amount even if you send more satoshis);
*   the system will automatically calculate the bitcoin equivalent at the current exchange rate;
*   **payment reference**: add a payment description (bill, service, invoice, etc.) so that the beneficiary knows it is you paying (avoid mentioning bitcoin in the description);
*   send to the BTC/Liquid address or pay the Lightning Network invoice. The exchange rate will be locked as soon as Bull Bitcoin detects the transaction;
*   as soon as the exchange receives the funds, it will pay your beneficiary through one of its bank accounts.

![](https://i0.wp.com/atlas21.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/5.jpg?resize=451%2C403&ssl=1)

![](https://i0.wp.com/atlas21.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/6.jpg?resize=441%2C622&ssl=1)

![](https://i0.wp.com/atlas21.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/7.jpg?resize=448%2C275&ssl=1)

**The possibility of paying any service that accepts bank transfers in euros using bitcoin** directly eliminates one of the main barriers to adoption as a medium of exchange, simplifying the daily life of bitcoiners and offering the opportunity to live in the Bitcoin Standard without having to continuously resort to conversions into fiat currency. It is a real bridge between the Bitcoin ecosystem and the traditional banking system.

* * *

_Bull Bitcoin is the world’s longest-running Bitcoin-only exchange. Strictly non-custodial. Try it [here](https://app.bullbitcoin.com/registration/atlas21)._

The post [Paying to an IBAN… in Bitcoin](https://atlas21.com/paying-to-an-iban-in-bitcoin/) appeared first on [Atlas21](https://atlas21.com).


Official clarifications follow community concerns: non-custodial wallets remain free from restrictions. The post Google Play excludes non-custodial wallets from the new crypto app rules appeared first on Atlas21.

**_Official clarifications follow community concerns: non-custodial wallets remain free from restrictions._**
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Google** recently backtracked on what initially seemed to be a significant policy update targeting all crypto wallets: for a moment, it appeared that the Play Store planned to ban unregistered **non-custodial wallets** in several countries, including the United States, the European Union, and the United Kingdom, starting in October. After sparking a wave of concern in the crypto community, Mountain View officially clarified that **non-custodial wallets will remain exempt** from the new restrictions [introduced](https://support.google.com/googleplay/android-developer/answer/16329703) on the **Play Store**.

The confusion arose from the publication of the updated **Google Play** [guidelines](https://support.google.com/googleplay/android-developer/answer/16329703), which will come into effect on October 29. Initially, many users and developers feared that non-custodial wallets might also be affected by the new rules. However, Google later [clarified](https://x.com/newsfromgoogle/status/1955743865144795581) the situation through its **Help Center**, specifying that _“non-custodial wallets are not in scope of Google Play’s Cryptocurrency Exchanges and Software Wallets Policy.”_

### **The policy change**

The new rules are aimed exclusively at custodial digital asset service providers. **Custodial wallet** applications, such as those provided by exchanges, will now need to obtain specific licenses to operate in over 15 jurisdictions, including the **United States** and the **European Union**.

In the U.S., custodial wallet developers will have to register as a _“money services business”_ or _“money transmitter”_ with local regulators. In Europe, registration as a crypto-asset service provider (CASP) will be required. Companies registered with the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN) will need to implement **Anti-Money Laundering** (AML) and **Know Your Customer** (KYC) programs.

### **Community reactions**

Despite the official clarifications, the community was not entirely reassured. Bitcoin developer **Peter Todd** expressed skepticism in a post on X:

> Google claims this is a mistake. More likely a trial balloon to gauge response.
>
> Notice how this policy will still prohibit Cashu wallets like minibits, Zeus (cashu support), Wallet of Satoshi, and future wallets using cashu to build up funds to open a channel.
>
> Not good at all. [https://t.co/muHtVwSA9m](https://t.co/muHtVwSA9m)
>
> — Peter Todd (@peterktodd) [August 13, 2025](https://twitter.com/peterktodd/status/1955756676692500544?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw)

**Jacob Wittman**, legal counsel at the Plasma Foundation, [described](https://x.com/jakewittman/status/1955703181553623211) the controversy as a _“nothing burger,”_ while acknowledging that _“the policy change show that tech giants control distribution and we are still at their whim.”_

The relationship between Google Play and the digital asset sector has historically been turbulent. In 2020, the platform removed the Bitcoin Blast video game and several crypto news apps, including those from **Cointelegraph** and **Coindesk**, without providing any explanation.

The post [Google Play excludes non-custodial wallets from the new crypto app rules](https://atlas21.com/google-play-excludes-non-custodial-wallets-from-the-new-crypto-app-rules/) appeared first on [Atlas21](https://atlas21.com).