tags: Rebuttal: Earthjustice report on Bitcoin Mining, Feb 2025

tags: Original report: https://earthjustice.org/experts/mandy-deroche/how-much-do-we-subsidize-cryptocurrency-minings-electricity-use-no-one-knows This post argues that Earthjustice’s latest report on Bitcoin mining is significantly disconnected from both the scientific consensus and real-world evidence. By failing to engage with the latest research and developments, Earthjustice risks undermining efforts to leverage Bitcoin mining as a tool that benefits the environmental across a range of metrics. This rebuttal examines the inaccuracies in their report and highlights the growing body of evidence supporting Bitcoin mining’s environmental benefits. For context: in recent times, Bitcoin has emerged as arguably the most important form of climatetech in enabling not one but four critical areas of climate justice. A large volume of peer reviewed research now confirms what Bitcoin mining companies, grid operators, energy experts, and the Bitcoin mining industry have been saying for some time: Bitcoin mining is essential to progress on these four critical areas 1. Remove bottlenecks to getting more renewable energy onto the grid 2. Replace Fossil fuel based heat with electrically based heat 3. Increase the speed and profitability of R&D into new renewable energy projects 4. Urgently end three carbon-intensive practices (gas peaker plant proliferation, natural gas flaring, venting of landfill gas) source These are no longer theoretical benefits, as they were when Earthjustice first started reporting on Bitcoin mining: Finland is now supplying 2% of all district heat through recycled Bitcoin mining heat, replacing fossil fuel-dependent sources such as the burning of coal and peat. 29 Bitcoin mining operations use carbon negative sources such as flared gas or landfill gas for power. OTEC, a forgotten form of renewable energy has had a new lease of life. Finally, since Bitcoin mining moved onto the Texas grid, blackouts have been prevented, $18Billion of new gas peaker plant costs were averted, inflation adjusted electricity prices were kept stable (a rare phenomenon for jurisdictions with rapidly increasing renewable penetration), while solar/wind rose from 80 GW to 130 GW of generation capacity. source Heat recycled from Bitcoin mining rigs running on Finland’s 92% fossil-free grid is increasingly replacing 54.6% fossil-fuel dependent existing district heating sources in Finland The world has changed, leaving Earthjustice behind Earthjustice published their first anti-Bitcoin report in 2022. Since then, the world of Bitcoin mining has fundamentally changed in five major ways: 1. Scientific community puts its weight behind Bitcoin mining’s environmental benefits Bitcoin mining has been shown to accelerate the renewable energy transition (Lal et al, 2023) obviate the need for gas peaker plants (Bruno et al, 2023) stabilize the grid (Rudd et al, 2023) halve the payback time for solar farms (Hakimi et al, 2024) accelerate renewable microgrid development (Moghimi et al 2024) reduce methane emissions from landfills (Sechrest et al, 2024) avert the need for expensive grid upgrades (Norris et al, 2025) with 14 out of the last 16 peer reviewed papers on Bitcoin and energy (87.5%) showing clear positive environmental externalities. 2. Sustainability media gets behind Bitcoin mining’s environmental benefits Of the ten climate-focused media that are commenting on Bitcoin mining and energy, nine of them found strong environmental benefits (90%). 3. 180° turnaround in mainstream media reporting on Bitcoin mining Of the 14 media outlets still covering Bitcoin and energy, 12 are covering Bitcoin’s environmental benefits (85.7%) 4. Bitcoin’s sustainable energy proportion has increased from 49.1% to 56.7% source: Digital Assets Research Institute 5. Source findings of Earthjustice’s 2022 report debunked The work of Alex de Vries and authors who relied on his findings, which formed the basis of Earthjustice’s 2022 findings, has been discredited due to fundamental flaws in both data-gathering techniques and methodology. source: Sai & Vranken, 2023 Earthjustice has responded by spreading even more misinformation Earthjuistice has not revisited their 2022 position on Bitcoin mining. Rather, their approach mirrors tactics that disregard scientific consensus, which is concerning given the volume of peer-reviewed research supporting Bitcoin mining’s environmental benefits. They have either ignored the scientific consensus, or dismissed the entire body of research as being the work of “vest interest groups” But not only has Earthjustice ignored the undisputed evidence of Bitcoin mining’s environmental benefits, they have put out more misinformation. The misinformation in Earthjustice’s 2025 report falls into three categories The very widely debunked claim that Bitcoin mining destabilizes grids The more recently debunked claim that Bitcoin mining increases power prices The more recently debunked claim that Bitcoin mining does not offer community benefits Let’s address each in turn. 1. Bitcoin and grid stability This claim demonstrates considerable ignorance about the large body of evidence showing that Bitcoin mining stabilizes grids. The claim also reveals a severe lack of awareness about what Earthjustice’s peers in the environmental movement have been writing in climate media for some time. The key point is: Bitcoin does not destabilize grids. In fact, a mountain of peer-reviewed and real-world evidence shows that Bitcoin mining stabilizes grids, enabling grid operators to integrate higher concentrations of variable renewable energy. For example: Lai et al states that Bitcoin mining can “balance the electrical grid”. source Ibañez et al concludes “PoW mining emerges as an alternative that can provide additional income and ancillary services (auxiliary services designed to provide stability to the energy grid)”. source Menati et al found that “the flexibility of cryptocurrency mining loads plays a pivotal role in the reliability of electricity systems and the stability of electricity markets” and “cryptocurrency mining …is shown not to be detrimental to power grid reliability even with significant amounts at certain locations.” source A whitepaper from Energy Experts at Duke University concluded that Controllable Load Resources (aka: Bitcoin mining) help to stabilize grids, and decarbonize grids. source These findings correspond precisely to Texas’ grid operators own direct observations. “[Bitcoin mining operations] have found a way to come into the market and take some of that excess wind in offpeak periods. Then it can turn down whenever we need the power for other customers… And if a generator trips off line can very quickly respond to that frequency disruption and allow us to balance our grid more efficiently.” source: Brad Jones, Former Interim CEO, ERCOT. The early misinformation that bitcoin destabilizes grids is rarely recycled any more, with both mainstream and sustainability-focsed journalists increasingly reporting on how Bitcoin mining in fact has a stabilizing impact on Grids. 2. Bitcoin and electricity prices The Earthjustice report shows an eye-opening level of naivety about the relationship between Bitcoin mining electricity prices and the cost that other users pay for electricity, the argument basically runs like this “We found out that Bitcoin miners pay a low cost for electricity, so we postulate that this means other users are subsidizing them.” To anyone with a basic understanding of wholesale electricity markets, this demonstrates the risks of non-domain experts commenting outside their area of expertise. Not only is there no evidence, either real-world or in the academic literature for this claim, but there is a significant body of evidence to the contrary. For example, Brad Jones, Former CEO of Texas’ grid ERCOT observed that by creating a more competitive market for ancillary services and by finding a home for otherwise wasted wind energy, Bitcoin was “helping keep the cost of electricity low for all Texans” In September 2024, Norwegian residents realized that Bitcoin mining had for years been keeping their power prices 20% lower. After the Bitcoin mining operation left the grid, their prices instantly increased to meet the revenue shortfall. As for the claim “There are other types of Demand Response. We don’t need Bitcoin” As energy expert Tom Algie puts it “Turning off and providing demand response isn’t straightforward. Compensation for traditional DR assets; steel works, aluminium smelters etc, is astronomical. Bitcoin mining revenue is on par with electricity prices, so we don’t need much additional incentive to turn off. This coupled with the ability to be located anywhere, the Bitcoin mining load is one of the most cost effective ways to provide DR, FCAS and System Strength services. It also incentivises overbuild of renewables. Bitcoin miners are also building plenty of energy assets globally.” Further, Inflation-adjusted figures show no statistically significant rise or fall in either electricity or gas prices since Bitcoin mining came onto the ERCOT grid in Texas, giving support for ERCOT CEO Brad Jones’ observation that Bitcoin mining in fact “Helped keep the price of power low for all Texans.” The claim therefore seems to be a false attribution of the impact of high inflation from 2021-2023, to Bitcoin mining. There are now not one but five ways that Bitcoin mining has been shown to keep residential power prices low Creating a more competitive market for Demand Response services (Mitch Klee) Providing more revenue to the grid operators, thereby decreasing the cost burden to other users (Dan Roberts) Reducing costly curtailment payouts to VRE generators (MARA) Helping grid operators to delay the need for cost-prohibitive grid upgrades (Norris et al) Obviating the need for multi-billion dollar Gas peaker plant investment (Rian Dewhurst) Earthjustice’s habit of indulging in domain-naive speculative inference over consulting the existing large body of literature on Bitcoin mining should be viewed as a red flag to environmentalists, policymakers, regulators and others in the climate industry. All should give Earthjustice’s articles on Bitcoin mining a wide berth until there is a substantial improvement in their awareness of both the domain, and the prior body of literature germane to the subject they are addressing. 3. Bitcoin and community benefits While Earthjustice claims that Bitcoin mining fails to deliver significant community benefits, evidence from the Perryman Group and testimonials from local officials like Mayor Ward Roddam of Rockdale, Texas, demonstrate the opposite. Perryman’s report found that in the US alone, Bitcoin mining has created 31,000 jobs brought $4.1 billion in annual U.S. gross product helped stabilize the grid while offering a range of other direct community benefits Community benefits were found to be significant, and included strengthening local public services boosting school funding improving community well-being expanding career opportunities in high-tech fields Improving community infrastructure In Rockdale, one of the major Bitcoin mining hubs in Texas, the mayor confirmed these benefits were being observed: “Bitcoin miners are deeply invested in the communities where they work. [They] are among the largest taxpayers in … our local school district. These companies donate to local causes, including scholarships, police and fire departments, youth sports and … community events.” ~ Ward Roddam. Mayor, Rockdale Conclusion In this paper, two lawyers from Earthjustice have advanced the implausible theory that they know more about community impacts of Bitcoin mining than the residents and mayor of the town of Rockdale benefitted, more about the grid stabilization impacts of Bitcoin than five separate teams of energy experts who published peer reviewed research on this subject, and more about the impact of Bitcoin on cost to other grid users than the Grid operator himself. They have ignored the scientific consensus, the environmental consensus and even the media reporting in the liberal media on Bitcoin mining. While the Earthjustice report of 2022 was arguably forgivable, as none of these five shifts had occurred in our understanding of Bitcoin mining, to write such a report in 2025 reflects a lack of engagement with recent research and real-world evidence, which calls into question its credibility on this issue. But Earthjustice’s report is not just misguided, its irresponsible. As a climatetech investor, I am continually looking for landfill operators where bitcoin mining operations can be set up, because bitcoin mining is usually the only way to profitably mitigate landfill gas methane (a horrendous greenhouse gas). We face considerable pushback on an almost daily basis because landfill owners have read factually incorrect accounts of bitcoin mining’s environmental impact. Such uncritical appraisals slow down our efforts to mitigate methane. I also travel around the world encouraging renewable operators to use bitcoin mining for their otherwise wasted renewable energy, so that they can become more profitable, and pour that profit back into expanding their renewable operation faster. Unfortunately, my efforts to do this are severely compromised by the misinformation they have heard about Bitcoin mining that was circulated widely by Alex de Vries from 2018-2022, and which unfortunately you are still recirculating, and which despite your good intentions actually slow down the efforts of those seeking pragmatic solutions to advancing the green energy transition. By promoting misinformation, Earthjustice risks delaying the adoption of innovative solutions like Bitcoin mining, which have been shown to accelerate the transition to renewable energy and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Specifically, they risk delaying the point at which we will be able to phase out gas peaker plants, while increasing the chances that retail users of electricity will have to pay a premium for their power. It is important that anyone who chances upon Earthjustice’s report should know that they are an outlier in the environmental movement in that they are still publishing misinformation on Bitcoin mining in 2025. We urge Earthjustice to revisit its stance on Bitcoin mining in light of the latest scientific research and real-world evidence. By doing so, they can align their advocacy with the most effective strategies for achieving climate justice.

content:
Original report: [https://earthjustice.org/experts/mandy-deroche/how-much-do-we-subsidize-cryptocurrency-minings-electricity-use-no-one-knows](https://earthjustice.org/experts/mandy-deroche/how-much-do-we-subsidize-cryptocurrency-minings-electricity-use-no-one-knows)

This post argues that Earthjustice’s latest report on Bitcoin mining is significantly disconnected from both the scientific consensus and real-world evidence. By failing to engage with the latest research and developments, Earthjustice risks undermining efforts to leverage Bitcoin mining as a tool that benefits the environmental across a range of metrics. This rebuttal examines the inaccuracies in their report and highlights the growing body of evidence supporting Bitcoin mining’s environmental benefits.

For context: in recent times, Bitcoin has emerged as arguably the most important form of climatetech in enabling not one but four critical areas of climate justice. A large volume of peer reviewed research now confirms what Bitcoin mining companies, grid operators, energy experts, and the Bitcoin mining industry have been saying for some time: Bitcoin mining is essential to progress on these four critical areas

**1\. Remove bottlenecks to getting more renewable energy onto the grid**

**2\. Replace Fossil fuel based heat with electrically based heat**

**3\. Increase the speed and profitability of R&D into new renewable energy projects**

**4\. Urgently end three carbon-intensive practices** (gas peaker plant proliferation, natural gas flaring, venting of landfill gas)

[source](https://batcoinz.com/why-climate-action-doesnt-just-benefit-from-bitcoin-mining-it-requires-it/)

These are no longer theoretical benefits, as they were when Earthjustice first started reporting on Bitcoin mining:

Finland is now supplying [2% of all district heat](https://x.com/DSBatten/status/1872740512555315559) through recycled Bitcoin mining heat, replacing fossil fuel-dependent sources such as the burning of coal and peat. 29 Bitcoin mining operations use carbon negative sources such as flared gas or landfill gas for power. OTEC, a forgotten form of renewable energy has had a new lease of life. Finally, since Bitcoin mining moved onto the Texas grid, blackouts have been prevented, $18Billion of new gas peaker plant costs were averted, inflation adjusted electricity prices were kept stable (a rare phenomenon for jurisdictions with rapidly increasing renewable penetration), while solar/wind rose from 80 GW to 130 GW of generation capacity.

[source](https://batcoinz.com/why-climate-action-doesnt-just-benefit-from-bitcoin-mining-it-requires-it/)

![](https://batcoinz.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/Screen-Shot-2025-02-23-at-8.56.17-PM-1024x726.png)

Heat recycled from Bitcoin mining rigs running on [Finland’s 92% fossil-free grid](https://www.treasuryfinland.fi/investor-relations/sustainability-and-finnish-government-bonds/data-and-facts-energy-transition/#:~:text=Finland's%20energy%20mix%20is%20well,second%20highest%20in%20the%20EU.) is increasingly
replacing [54.6% fossil-fuel dependent](https://www.statista.com/statistics/660023/finland-type-of-fuels-used-for-district-heating/) existing district heating sources in Finland

The world has changed, leaving Earthjustice behind
--------------------------------------------------

Earthjustice published their first anti-Bitcoin report in 2022. Since then, the world of Bitcoin mining has fundamentally changed in five major ways:

**1\. Scientific community puts its weight behind Bitcoin mining’s environmental benefits**

Bitcoin mining has been shown to

*   accelerate the renewable energy transition ([Lal et al](https://pubs.acs.org/doi/10.1021/acssuschemeng.3c05445), 2023)
*   obviate the need for gas peaker plants ([Bruno et al](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0928765523000313), 2023)
*   stabilize the grid ([Rudd et al](https://www.mdpi.com/2078-1547/14/4/47), 2023)
*   halve the payback time for solar farms ([Hakimi et al](https://www.cell.com/heliyon/fulltext/S2405-8440\(24\)15796-9), 2024)
*   accelerate renewable microgrid development ([Moghimi et al](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0142061524001364) 2024)
*   reduce methane emissions from landfills ([Sechrest et al](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959652624029652?via%3Dihub), 2024)
*   avert the need for expensive [grid upgrades](https://www.linkedin.com/posts/danielsbatten_waited-34-months-for-this-moment-in-march-activity-7296373253453819905-Y2SK?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop&rcm=ACoAAAAOueQB3LYz-BPTBFwVPl9wJVYdGJiKUow) ([Norris et al](https://nicholasinstitute.duke.edu/sites/default/files/publications/rethinking-load-growth.pdf), 2025)

with [14 out of the last 16](https://www.linkedin.com/posts/danielsbatten_from-mining-to-mitigation-how-bitcoin-can-activity-7280429495679963136-2E-q?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop&rcm=ACoAAAAOueQB3LYz-BPTBFwVPl9wJVYdGJiKUow) peer reviewed papers on Bitcoin and energy (87.5%) showing clear positive environmental externalities.

**2\. Sustainability media gets behind Bitcoin mining’s environmental benefits**

Of the ten climate-focused media that are commenting on Bitcoin mining and energy, [nine of them](https://www.linkedin.com/posts/danielsbatten_bitcoin-miner-mara-buying-114-mw-wind-farm-activity-7280432749180559360-AaWO/) found strong environmental benefits (90%).

**3\. 180° turnaround in mainstream media reporting on Bitcoin mining**

Of the 14 media outlets still covering Bitcoin and energy, [12 are covering](https://www.linkedin.com/posts/danielsbatten_why-bitcoin-is-key-to-the-future-of-finance-activity-7278907968035700737-9IwO?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop&rcm=ACoAAAAOueQB3LYz-BPTBFwVPl9wJVYdGJiKUow) Bitcoin’s environmental benefits (85.7%)

**4\. Bitcoin’s sustainable energy proportion has increased from 49.1% to 56.7%**

source: D[igital Assets Research Institute](https://woocharts.com/esg-bitcoin-mining-sustainability/)

![](https://batcoinz.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/Screen-Shot-2025-02-23-at-4.14.23-PM-1024x638.png)

**5\. Source findings of Earthjustice’s 2022 report debunked**

The work of Alex de Vries and authors who relied on his findings, which formed the basis of Earthjustice’s 2022 findings, has been discredited due to fundamental flaws in both data-gathering techniques and methodology.

source: [Sai & Vranken](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2096720923000441?via%3Dihub), 2023

Earthjustice has responded by spreading even more misinformation
----------------------------------------------------------------

Earthjuistice has not revisited their 2022 position on Bitcoin mining. Rather, their approach mirrors tactics that disregard scientific consensus, which is concerning given the volume of peer-reviewed research supporting Bitcoin mining’s environmental benefits. They have either ignored the scientific consensus, or dismissed the entire body of research as being the work of “vest interest groups”

But not only has Earthjustice ignored the undisputed evidence of Bitcoin mining’s environmental benefits, they have put out more misinformation.

The misinformation in Earthjustice’s 2025 report falls into three categories

1.  The very widely debunked claim that Bitcoin mining destabilizes grids
2.  The more recently debunked claim that Bitcoin mining increases power prices
3.  The more recently debunked claim that Bitcoin mining does not offer community benefits

Let’s address each in turn.

### 1\. Bitcoin and grid stability

This claim demonstrates considerable ignorance about the large body of evidence showing that Bitcoin mining stabilizes grids. The claim also reveals a severe lack of awareness about what Earthjustice’s peers in the environmental movement have been writing in climate media for some time.

The key point is: Bitcoin does not destabilize grids. In fact, a mountain of peer-reviewed and real-world evidence shows that Bitcoin mining stabilizes grids, enabling grid operators to integrate higher concentrations of variable renewable energy.

For example:

1.  [Lai et al](https://pubs.acs.org/doi/10.1021/acssuschemeng.3c05445) states that Bitcoin mining can “balance the electrical grid”. [source](https://pubs.acs.org/doi/10.1021/acssuschemeng.3c05445)
2.  [Ibañez et al](https://www.mdpi.com/2078-1547/14/3/35) concludes “PoW mining emerges as an alternative that can provide additional income and ancillary services (auxiliary services designed to provide stability to the energy grid)”. [source](https://www.mdpi.com/2078-1547/14/3/35)
3.  [Menati et al](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S266679242300015X) found that “the flexibility of cryptocurrency mining loads plays a pivotal role in the reliability of electricity systems and the stability of electricity markets” and “cryptocurrency mining …is shown not to be detrimental to power grid reliability even with significant amounts at certain locations.” [source](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S266679242300015X)
4.  A whitepaper from Energy Experts at Duke University concluded that Controllable Load Resources (aka: Bitcoin mining) help to [stabilize grids](https://www.linkedin.com/posts/danielsbatten_waited-34-months-for-this-moment-in-march-activity-7296373253453819905-Y2SK?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop&rcm=ACoAAAAOueQB3LYz-BPTBFwVPl9wJVYdGJiKUow), and decarbonize grids. [source](https://nicholasinstitute.duke.edu/sites/default/files/publications/rethinking-load-growth.pdf)
5.  These findings correspond precisely to Texas’ grid operators own direct observations.

###### **“\[Bitcoin mining operations\] have found a way to come into the market and take some of that excess wind in offpeak periods. Then it can turn down whenever we need the power for other customers… And if a generator trips off line can very quickly respond to that frequency disruption and allow us to balance our grid mor


![KYC Bitcoin: Individuals are on Lists](https://www.discreetlog.com/content/images/2023/02/binancekycleak.webp)

**_What is KYC/AML?_**

*   The acronym stands for Know Your Customer / Anti Money Laundering.
*   In practice it stands for the surveillance measures companies are often compelled to take against their customers by financial regulators.
*   Methods differ but often include: Passport Scans, Driver License Uploads, Social Security Numbers, Home Address, Phone Number, Face Scans.
*   Bitcoin companies will also store all withdrawal and deposit addresses which can then be used to track bitcoin transactions on the bitcoin block chain.
*   This data is then stored and shared. Regulations often require companies to hold this information for a set number of years but in practice users should assume this data will be held indefinitely. Data is often stored insecurely, which results in frequent [hacks and leaks](https://www.newsweek.com/binance-hack-telegram-kyc-data-extortion-changpeng-zhao-cryptocurrency-bitcoin-1452989?ref=discreetlog.com).
*   KYC/AML data collection puts all honest users at risk of theft, extortion, and persecution while being ineffective at stopping crime. Criminals often use [counterfeit, bought, or stolen](https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2021/10/19/for-200-you-can-trade-crypto-with-a-fake-id/?ref=discreetlog.com) credentials to get around the requirements. Criminals can buy "verified" accounts for as [little as $200](https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2021/10/19/for-200-you-can-trade-crypto-with-a-fake-id/?ref=discreetlog.com). Furthermore, billions of people are excluded from financial services as a result of KYC/AML requirements.

During the early days of bitcoin most services did not require this sensitive user data, but as adoption increased so did the surveillance measures. At this point, **most large bitcoin companies are collecting and storing massive lists of bitcoiners, our sensitive personal information, and our transaction history.**

**Lists of Bitcoiners**

KYC/AML policies are a direct attack on bitcoiners. Lists of bitcoiners and our transaction history will inevitably be used against us.

Once you are on a list with your bitcoin transaction history that record will always exist. Generally speaking, tracking bitcoin is based on probability analysis of ownership change. Surveillance firms use various heuristics to determine if you are sending bitcoin to yourself or if ownership is actually changing hands.  You can obtain better privacy going forward by using collaborative transactions such as coinjoin to break this probability analysis.

Fortunately, you can buy bitcoin without providing intimate personal information. Tools such as [peach](https://peachbitcoin.com/?ref=discreetlog.com), [hodlhodl](https://hodlhodl.com/?ref=discreetlog.com), [robosats](https://learn.robosats.com/?ref=discreetlog.com), [azteco](https://azte.co/?ref=discreetlog.com) and [bisq](https://bisq.network/?ref=discreetlog.com) help; mining is also a solid option: anyone can plug a miner into power and internet and earn bitcoin by mining privately.

You can also earn bitcoin by providing goods and/or services that can be purchased with bitcoin. Long term, circular economies will mitigate this threat: most people will not buy bitcoin - they will earn bitcoin - most people will not sell bitcoin - they will spend bitcoin.

**There is no such thing as KYC or No KYC bitcoin, there are bitcoiners on lists and those that are not on lists.**

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_**If you found this post helpful support my work with [bitcoin](https://geyser.fund/project/citadel?ref=discreetlog.com).**_

![KYC Bitcoin: Individuals are on Lists](https://werunbtc.com/donate.png)


tags: Wealth requires freedom: the ability to make decisions without coercion. Freedom requires privacy: the ability to selectively reveal yourself to the world. Rights are not granted: they are earned through struggle and defended through sacrifice.

content:
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![No Privacy? No Freedom. No Freedom? No Wealth.](https://www.discreetlog.com/content/images/2023/04/freedom-1.webp)

_"Privacy is necessary for an open society in the electronic age. Privacy is not secrecy.  A private matter is something one doesn't want the whole world to know, but a secret matter is something one doesn't want anybody to know. Privacy is the power to selectively reveal oneself to the world."_ **\- Eric Hughes, [A Cypherpunk's Manifesto](https://www.activism.net/cypherpunk/manifesto.html?ref=discreetlog.com), 1993**

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**Privacy is essential to freedom.** Without privacy, individuals are unable to make choices free from surveillance and control. Lack of privacy leads to loss of autonomy. When individuals are constantly monitored it limits our ability to express ourselves and take risks. Any decisions we make can result in negative repercussions from those who surveil us. Without the freedom to make choices, individuals cannot truly be free.

**Freedom is essential to acquiring and preserving wealth.** When individuals are not free to make choices, restrictions and limitations prevent us from economic opportunities. If we are somehow able to acquire wealth in such an environment, lack of freedom can result in direct asset seizure by governments or other malicious entities. At scale, when freedom is compromised, it leads to widespread economic stagnation and poverty. Protecting freedom is essential to economic prosperity.

The connection between **privacy, freedom, and wealth** is critical. Without privacy, individuals lose the freedom to make choices free from surveillance and control. While lack of freedom prevents individuals from pursuing economic opportunities and makes wealth preservation nearly impossible. **_No Privacy? No Freedom. No Freedom? No Wealth._**

_**Rights are not granted. They are taken and defended.**_ Rights are often misunderstood as permission to do something by those holding power. However, if someone can give you something, they can inherently take it from you at will. People throughout history have necessarily fought for basic rights, including privacy and freedom. These rights were not given by those in power, but rather demanded and won through struggle. Even after these rights are won, they must be continually defended to ensure that they are not taken away. **Rights are not granted - they are earned through struggle and defended through sacrifice.**

* * *

_**If you found this post helpful support my work with [bitcoin](https://geyser.fund/project/citadel?ref=discreetlog.com).**_

![No Privacy? No Freedom. No Freedom? No Wealth.](https://werunbtc.com/donate.png)


![Patriot Act 2.0](https://www.discreetlog.com/content/images/2023/03/restrictact.webp)

The newly proposed RESTRICT ACT - is being advertised as a TikTok Ban, but is much broader than that, carries a $1M Fine and up to 20 years in prison! It is unconstitutional and would create massive legal restrictions on the open source movement and free speech throughout the internet.

The [Bill](https://www.warner.senate.gov/public/_cache/files/3/f/3f2eaae6-09ad-49e1-b254-46289cf20cca/843D73B1823EA0D4122B4365262410D6.restrict-act-final-text.pdf?ref=discreetlog.com) was proposed by: Senator Warner, Senator Thune, Senator Baldwin, Senator Fischer, Senator Manchin, Senator Moran, Senator Bennet, Senator Sullivan, Senator Gillibrand, Senator Collins, Senator Heinrich, and Senator Romney. It has broad support across Senators of both parties.

Corrupt politicians will not protect us. They are part of the problem. We must build, support, and learn how to use censorship resistant tools in order to defend our natural rights.

> The RESTRICT Act, introduced by Senators Warner and Thune, aims to block or disrupt transactions and financial holdings involving foreign adversaries that pose risks to national security. Although the primary targets of this legislation are companies like Tik-Tok, the language of the bill could potentially be used to block or disrupt cryptocurrency transactions and, in extreme cases, block Americans’ access to open source tools or protocols like Bitcoin.

> The Act creates a redundant regime paralleling OFAC without clear justification, it significantly limits the ability for injured parties to challenge actions raising due process concerns, and unlike OFAC it lacks any carve-out for protected speech. [COINCENTER ON THE RESTRICT ACT](https://www.coincenter.org/the-restrict-act-creates-blanket-authority-with-few-checks-to-ban-just-about-anything-linked-to-a-foreign-adversary/?ref=discreetlog.com)

[**Full Text of Bill**](https://www.warner.senate.gov/public/_cache/files/3/f/3f2eaae6-09ad-49e1-b254-46289cf20cca/843D73B1823EA0D4122B4365262410D6.restrict-act-final-text.pdf?ref=discreetlog.com)

* * *

_**If you found this post helpful support my work with [bitcoin](https://geyser.fund/project/citadel?ref=discreetlog.com).**_

![Patriot Act 2.0](https://werunbtc.com/donate.png)


> ![Nostr: A Revolutionary Communication Protocol](https://www.discreetlog.com/content/images/2023/04/nostr.webp)
>
> [@matt\_odell](https://twitter.com/MATT_ODELL?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw&ref=discreetlog.com) don't you even dare not ask about nostr!
>
> — Kukks (Andrew Camilleri) (@MrKukks) [May 18, 2021](https://twitter.com/MrKukks/status/1394638825675177986?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw&ref=discreetlog.com)

Nostr first hit my radar spring 2021: created by fellow bitcoiner and friend, [fiatjaf](https://twitter.com/fiatjaf?ref=discreetlog.com), and [released](https://github.com/nostr-protocol/nostr?ref=discreetlog.com) to the world as free open source software. I was fortunate to be able to host a [conversation with him on Citadel Dispatch](https://www.podpage.com/citadeldispatch/cd63-building-nostr-a-censorship-resistant-alternative-to-twitter-with-fiatjaf-jb55-and-mrkukks/?ref=discreetlog.com) in those early days, capturing that moment in history forever. Since then, the protocol has seen explosive viral organic growth as individuals around the world have contributed their time and energy to build out the protocol and the surrounding ecosystem due to the clear need for better communication tools.

_**nostr is to twitter as bitcoin is to paypal**_

As an intro to nostr, let us start with a metaphor:

_**twitter is paypal** - a centralized platform plagued by censorship but has the benefit of established network effects_

_**nostr is bitcoin** - an open protocol that is censorship resistant and robust but requires an organic adoption phase_

**Nostr is an open communication protocol that can be used to send messages across a distributed set of relays in a censorship resistant and robust way.
** - Anyone can run a relay.
 - Anyone can interact with the protocol.
 - Relays can choose which messages they want to relay.
 - Users are identified by a simple public private key pair that they can generate themselves.

Nostr is often compared to twitter since there are nostr clients that emulate twitter functionality and user interface but that is merely one application of the protocol. **Nostr is so much more than a mere twitter competitor.** Nostr clients and relays can transmit a wide variety of data and clients can choose how to display that information to users. The result is a revolution in communication with implications that are difficult for any of us to truly comprehend.

Similar to bitcoin, nostr is an open and permissionless protocol. **No person, company, or government controls it.** Anyone can iterate and build on top of nostr without permission. Together, bitcoin and nostr are incredibly complementary freedom tech tools: censorship resistant, permissionless, robust, and interoperable - money and speech protected by code and incentives, not laws.

As censorship throughout the world continues to escalate, freedom tech provides hope for individuals around the world who refuse to accept the status quo. This movement will succeed on the shoulders of those who choose to stand up and contribute. We will build our own path. A brighter path.

* * *

**My Nostr Public Key:** [npub1qny3tkh0acurzla8x3zy4nhrjz5zd8l9sy9jys09umwng00manysew95gx](https://primal.net/odell?ref=discreetlog.com)

* * *

_**If you found this post helpful support my work with [bitcoin](https://geyser.fund/project/citadel?ref=discreetlog.com).**_

![Nostr: A Revolutionary Communication Protocol](https://werunbtc.com/donate.png)


tags: PacWest is the first of many small regional banks that will go under this year. Most will get bought by the big four in gov orchestrated sales. This has been the playbook since 2008.

content:
> ![Bank Consolidation Then CBDC](https://www.discreetlog.com/content/images/2023/05/banks-1.jpg)
>
> Bank run on every crypto bank then bank run on every "real" bank.
>
> — ODELL (@ODELL) [December 14, 2022](https://twitter.com/ODELL/status/1602838429447999491?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw&ref=discreetlog.com)

Good morning.

It looks like PacWest will fail today. It will be both the fifth largest bank failure in US history and the sixth major bank to fail this year. It will likely get purchased by one of the big four banks in a government orchestrated sale.

**March 8th - Silvergate Bank
March 10th - Silicon Valley Bank
March 12th - Signature Bank
March 19th - Credit Suisse
May 1st - First Republic Bank
May 4th - PacWest Bank?**

PacWest is the first of many small regional banks that [will go under](https://www.discreetlog.com/banking-crisis/) this year. Most will get bought by the big four in gov orchestrated sales. This has been the playbook since 2008. Follow the incentives. Massive consolidation across the banking industry. PacWest gonna be a drop in the bucket compared to what comes next.

First, a hastened government led bank consolidation, then a public/private partnership with the remaining large banks to launch a surveilled and controlled digital currency network. We will be told it is more convenient. We will be told it is safer. We will be told it will prevent future bank runs. All of that is marketing bullshit. **The goal is greater control of money. The ability to choose how we spend it and how we save it. If you control the money - you control the people that use it.**

* * *

_**If you found this post helpful support my work with [bitcoin](https://geyser.fund/project/citadel?ref=discreetlog.com).**_

![Bank Consolidation Then CBDC](https://werunbtc.com/donate.png)


> ![Life is Complicated - Bitcoin is Simple](https://www.discreetlog.com/content/images/2023/05/mothers.jpg)
>
> I often hear "bitcoin doesn't interest me, I'm not a finance person."
>
> Ironically, the beauty of sound money is you don't have to be. In the current system you're expected to manage a diversified investment portfolio or pay someone to do it. Bitcoin will make that optional.
>
> — ODELL (@ODELL) [September 16, 2018](https://twitter.com/ODELL/status/1041358813482364928?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw&ref=discreetlog.com)

At first glance bitcoin often appears overwhelming to newcomers. It is incredibly easy to get bogged down in the details of how it works or different ways to use it. Enthusiasts, such as myself, often enjoy going down the deep rabbit hole of the potential of bitcoin, possible pitfalls and theoretical scenarios, power user techniques, and the developer ecosystem. If your first touch point with bitcoin is that type of content then it is only natural to be overwhelmed. While it is important that we have a thriving community of bitcoiners dedicated to these complicated tasks - the true beauty of bitcoin lies in its simplicity. Bitcoin is simply better money. It is the best money we have ever had.

**Life is complicated. Life is hard. Life is full of responsibility and surprises.** Bitcoin allows us to focus on our lives while relying on a money that is simple. A money that is not controlled by any individual, company, or government. A money that cannot be easily seized or blocked. A money that cannot be devalued at will by a handful of corrupt bureaucrat who live hundreds of miles from us. A money that can be easily saved and should increase in purchasing power over time without having to learn how to "build a diversified stock portfolio" or hire someone to do it for us.

**Bitcoin enables all of us to focus on our lives - our friends and family - doing what we love with the short time we have on this earth. Time is scarce. Life is complicated. Bitcoin is the most simple aspect of our complicated lives.** If we spend our scarce time working then we should be able to easily save that accrued value for future generations without watching the news or understanding complicated financial markets. Bitcoin makes this possible for anyone.

Yesterday was Mother's Day. Raising a human is complicated. It is hard, it requires immense personal responsibility, it requires critical thinking, but mothers figure it out, because it is worth it. Using and saving bitcoin is simple -  [simply install an app on your phone](https://werunbtc.com/phoenix?ref=discreetlog.com). Every mother can do it. Every person can do it.

**Life is complicated. Life is beautiful. Bitcoin is simple.**

* * *

_**If you found this post helpful support my work with [bitcoin](https://geyser.fund/project/citadel?ref=discreetlog.com).**_

![Life is Complicated - Bitcoin is Simple](https://werunbtc.com/donate.png)


tags: Bitcoin transaction fees limit network abuse by making usage expensive. There is a cost to every transaction, set by a dynamic free market based on demand.

content:
![High Fees? Bitcoin is Working As Designed](https://www.discreetlog.com/content/images/2023/05/mempoolspace.png)

There must be a limit to how much data is transferred across the bitcoin network in order to keep the ability to run and use your own node accessible. **A node is required to interact with the global bitcoin network - if you do not use your own node then you must trust someone else's node.** If nodes become inaccessible to run then the network will centralize around the remaining entities that operate them - threatening the censorship resistance at the core of bitcoin's value prop. **The bitcoin protocol uses three main mechanisms to keep node operation costs low - a fixed limit on the amount of data in each block, an automatic difficulty adjustment that regulates how many blocks are produced based on current mining hash rate, and a robust dynamic transaction fee market.**

Bitcoin transaction fees limit network abuse by making usage expensive. There is a cost to every transaction, set by a [dynamic free market](https://www.discreetlog.com/utxos/) based on demand for scarce block space. It is an incredibly robust way to prevent spam without relying on centralized entities that can be corrupted or pressured.

After the 2017 bitcoin fee spike we had six years of relative quiet to build tools that would be robust in a sustained high fee market. Fortunately our tools are significantly better now but many still need improvement. Most of the pain points we see today will be mitigated.

**The reality is we were never going to be fully prepared - pressure is needed to show the pain points and provide strong incentives to mitigate them.**

**It will be incredibly interesting to watch how projects adapt under pressure. Optimistic we see great innovation here.**

* * *

_If you are willing to wait for your transaction to confirm you can pay significantly lower fees. Learn best practices for reducing your fee burden [**here**](https://www.discreetlog.com/utxos/).

My guide for running and using your own bitcoin node can be found **[here](https://werunbtc.com/bitcoincore?ref=discreetlog.com)**._

* * *

_**If you found this post helpful support my work with [bitcoin](https://geyser.fund/project/citadel?ref=discreetlog.com).**_

![High Fees? Bitcoin is Working As Designed](https://werunbtc.com/donate.png)


tags: There are going to be many more bank failures as this ponzi system unravels. Unlike 2008, we have the ability to opt out of these broken and corrupt institutions by using bitcoin.

content:
![More Banks Will Fail](https://www.discreetlog.com/content/images/2023/05/bankfailures.jpg)

People forget Bear Stearns failed March 2008 - months of denial followed before the public realized how bad the situation was under the surface.

Similar happening now but much larger scale. They did not fix fundamental issues after 2008 - everything is more fragile.

The Fed preemptively bailed out every bank with their BTFP program and First Republic Bank still failed. The second largest bank failure in history.

There will be more failures. There will be more bailouts. Depositors will be "protected" by socializing losses across everyone.

Our President and mainstream financial pundits are currently pretending the banking crisis is over while most banks remain insolvent. There are going to be many more bank failures as this ponzi system unravels.

**Unlike 2008, we have the ability to opt out of these broken and corrupt institutions by using bitcoin.** Bitcoin [held in self custody](https://werunbtc.com/coldcard?ref=discreetlog.com) is unique in its lack of counterparty risk - you do not have to trust a bank or other centralized entity to hold it for you. Bitcoin is also incredibly difficult to change by design since it is not controlled by an individual, company, or government - the supply of dollars will inevitably be inflated to bailout these failing banks but bitcoin supply will remain unchanged. **I do not need to convince you that bitcoin provides value - these next few years will convince millions.**

* * *

_**If you found this post helpful support my work with [bitcoin](https://geyser.fund/project/citadel?ref=discreetlog.com).**_

![More Banks Will Fail](https://werunbtc.com/donate.png)


tags: Chain data shows that binance bitcoin wallets are near all time highs with roughly 700k bitcoin currently valued at $18.2 Billion USD.

content:
![Is there a bank run on Binance?](https://www.discreetlog.com/content/images/2023/08/ev.webp)

Influencers would have you believe there is an ongoing binance bank run but bitcoin wallet data says otherwise.

\- binance wallets are near all time highs
\- bitfinex wallets are also trending up
\- gemini and coinbase are being hit with massive withdrawals though

**You should not trust custodians, they can rug you without warning.** It is incredibly important you learn how to hold bitcoin yourself, but also consider not blindly trusting influencers with a ref link to shill you.

![Is there a bank run on Binance?](https://www.discreetlog.com/content/images/2023/08/telegram-cloud-photo-size-1-5130069278517734406-y-10.jpg)

![Is there a bank run on Binance?](https://www.discreetlog.com/content/images/2023/08/telegram-cloud-photo-size-1-5130069278517734407-y.jpg)

![Is there a bank run on Binance?](https://www.discreetlog.com/content/images/2023/08/telegram-cloud-photo-size-1-5130069278517734408-y.jpg)

![Is there a bank run on Binance?](https://www.discreetlog.com/content/images/2023/08/telegram-cloud-photo-size-1-5127877758570048404-y.jpg)

* * *

_**If you found this post helpful support my work with [bitcoin](https://geyser.fund/project/citadel?ref=discreetlog.com).**_

![Is there a bank run on Binance?](https://werunbtc.com/donate.png)


tags: Gradually then suddenly nostr will become the standard.

content:
![Nostr Adoption Update](https://www.discreetlog.com/content/images/2023/08/birdx.jpeg)

**Nostr is an open communication protocol that can be used to send messages across a distributed set of relays in a censorship resistant and robust way.**

* * *

_If you missed my nostr introduction post you can find it [here](https://www.discreetlog.com/nostr/). My nostr account can be found [here](https://primal.net/odell?ref=discreetlog.com)._

* * *

We are nearly at the point that if something interesting is posted on a centralized social platform it will usually be posted by someone to nostr.

We are nearly at the point that if something interesting is posted exclusively to nostr it is cross posted by someone to various centralized social platforms.

We are nearly at the point that you can recommend a cross platform app that users can install and easily onboard without additional guides or resources.

As companies continue to build walls around their centralized platforms nostr posts will be the easiest to cross reference and verify - as companies continue to censor their users nostr is the best censorship resistant alternative - gradually then suddenly nostr will become the standard. 🫡

[![Nostr Adoption Update](https://www.discreetlog.com/content/images/2023/08/image.png)](https://primal.net/explore?ref=discreetlog.com)

Current Nostr Stats

* * *

_**If you found this post helpful support my work with [bitcoin](https://geyser.fund/project/citadel?ref=discreetlog.com).**_

![Nostr Adoption Update](https://werunbtc.com/donate.png)


tags: The blue check is the first step in Elon's plan to bring the chinese social credit score system to the west. If you cannot resist the temptation of the blue check in its current form you have already lost - what comes next will be much darker.

content:
> Will not live in a pod.
> Will not eat the bugs.
> Will not get the chip.
> Will not get a blue check.
> Will not use CBDCs.
>
> Live Free or Die.

![Blue Check Manifesto](https://www.discreetlog.com/content/images/2023/06/authenticate-1.png)

Why did Elon buy twitter for $44 Billion? What value does he see in it besides the greater influence that undoubtedly comes with controlling one of the largest social platforms in the world? **We do not need to speculate - he made his intentions incredibly clear in his first meeting with twitter employees after his takeover - WeChat of the West.**

[![Blue Check Manifesto](https://www.discreetlog.com/content/images/2023/06/wechatofthewest.png)](https://www.businessinsider.com/elon-musk-says-twitter-could-be-western-wechat-china-superapp-2022-6?ref=discreetlog.com)

To those that do not appreciate freedom, the value prop is clear - WeChat is incredibly powerful and successful in China.

[![Blue Check Manifesto](https://www.discreetlog.com/content/images/2023/06/wechat2.png)](https://www.businessinsider.com/chinese-superapp-wechat-best-feature-walkthrough-2019-12?ref=discreetlog.com)

To those that do appreciate freedom, the concern is clear - WeChat has essentially become required to live in China, has surveillance and censorship integrated at its core, and if you are banned from the app your entire livelihood is at risk. Employment, housing, payments, travel, communication, and more become extremely difficult if WeChat censors determine you have acted out of line.

[![Blue Check Manifesto](https://www.discreetlog.com/content/images/2023/06/wechat.png)](https://restofworld.org/2022/handwritten-wechat-apology-letters/?ref=discreetlog.com)

![Blue Check Manifesto](https://www.discreetlog.com/content/images/2023/06/socialcreditscore_.jpg)

The blue check is the first step in Elon's plan to bring the chinese social credit score system to the west. Users who verify their identity are rewarded with more reach and better tools than those that do not. **Verified users are the main product of Elon's twitter - an extensive database of individuals and complete control of the tools he will slowly get them to rely on - it is easier to monetize cattle than free men.**

![Blue Check Manifesto](https://www.discreetlog.com/content/images/2023/06/bluecheck.png)

If you cannot resist the temptation of the blue check in its current form you have already lost - what comes next will be much darker. If you realize the need to resist - [freedom tech provides us options](https://www.discreetlog.com/nostr/).

* * *

_**If you found this post helpful support my work with [bitcoin](https://geyser.fund/project/citadel?ref=discreetlog.com).**_

![Blue Check Manifesto](https://werunbtc.com/donate.png)


![Big Tech 🤝 Bitcoin Miners: Energy Freedom](https://www.discreetlog.com/content/images/2023/09/mscloud.jpg)

For years American bitcoin miners have argued for more efficient and free energy markets. It benefits everyone if our energy infrastructure is as efficient and robust as possible. Unfortunately, broken incentives have led to increased regulation throughout the sector, incentivizing less efficient energy sources such as solar and wind at the detriment of more efficient alternatives.

The result has been less reliable energy infrastructure for all Americans and increased energy costs across the board. This naturally has a direct impact on bitcoin miners: increased energy costs make them less competitive globally.

Bitcoin mining represents a global energy market that does not require permission to participate. Anyone can plug a mining computer into power and internet to get paid the current dynamic market price for their work in bitcoin. Using cellphone or satellite internet, these mines can be located anywhere in the world, sourcing the cheapest power available.

Absent of regulation, bitcoin mining naturally incentivizes the build out of highly efficient and robust energy infrastructure. Unfortunately that world does not exist and burdensome regulations remain the biggest threat for US based mining businesses. Jurisdictional arbitrage gives miners the option of moving to a friendlier country but that naturally comes with its own costs.

Enter AI. With the rapid development and release of AI tools comes the requirement of running massive datacenters for their models. Major tech companies are scrambling to secure machines, rack space, and cheap energy to run full suites of AI enabled tools and services. **The most valuable and powerful tech companies in America have stumbled into an accidental alliance with bitcoin miners: THE NEED FOR CHEAP AND RELIABLE ENERGY.**

Our government is corrupt. Money talks. These companies will push for energy freedom and it will greatly benefit us all.

* * *

_Microsoft Cloud hiring to "implement global small modular reactor and microreactor" strategy to power data centers:_ [https://www.datacenterdynamics.com/en/news/microsoft-cloud-hiring-to-implement-global-small-modular-reactor-and-microreactor-strategy-to-power-data-centers/](https://www.datacenterdynamics.com/en/news/microsoft-cloud-hiring-to-implement-global-small-modular-reactor-and-microreactor-strategy-to-power-data-centers/?ref=discreetlog.com)

* * *

_**If you found this post helpful support my work with [bitcoin](https://geyser.fund/project/citadel?ref=discreetlog.com).**_

![Big Tech 🤝 Bitcoin Miners: Energy Freedom](https://werunbtc.com/donate.png)


tags: Chaos or Tyranny? Freedom tech fixes this.

content:
![Chaos, Order, and Freedom](https://www.discreetlog.com/content/images/2023/10/flowchart.png)

**Humanity's Natural State Is Chaos**
Without order there is chaos. Humans competing with each other for scarce resources naturally leads to conflict until one group achieves significant power and instates a "monopoly on violence."

**Power Brings Stability**
Power has always been the key means to achieve stability in societies. Centralized power can be incredibly effective in addressing issues such as crime, poverty, and social unrest efficiently. Unfortunately this power is often abused and corrupted.

**Centralized Power Breeds Tyranny**
Centralized power often leads to tyrannical rule. When a select few individuals hold control over a society, they tend to become corrupted. Centralized power structures often lack accountability and transparency, and rely too heavily on trust.

**Distributed Power Cultivates Freedom**
New technology that empowers individuals provide us the ability to rebuild societies from the bottom up. Strong individuals that can defend and provide for themselves will help build strong local communities on a similar foundation. The result is power being distributed throughout society rather than held by a select few.

**In the short term, relying on trust and centralized power is an easy answer to mitigating chaos, but freedom tech tools provide us the ability to build on top of much stronger distributed foundations that provide stability while also cultivating individual freedom.**

**The solution starts with us. Empower yourself. Empower others. A grassroots freedom tech movement scaling one person at a time.**

* * *

**_If you found this post helpful support my work with [**_bitcoin_**](https://geyser.fund/project/citadel?ref=discreetlog.com)._**

![Chaos, Order, and Freedom](https://werunbtc.com/donate.png)


tags: James Check says Bitcoin’s consolidation is over and $150K is next as institutional demand reshapes the market.

content:
Key Takeaways
-------------

![TFTC - Market Expert Reveals How Much Bitcoin You Need to Retire! $150K Coming Soon | James Check](https://www.tftc.io/content/images/2025/10/James-Check--1-.jpg)

James Check argues that Bitcoin has entered a new era of maturity defined by institutional dominance, evolving derivatives markets, and a powerful “buy-side floor” forming around $95K–$110K. He believes Bitcoin’s realized cap surpassing $1 trillion signals unprecedented capital inflows, with ETFs and IBIT options marking a permanent market structure shift. The “chopsolidation” of 2025, months of sideways trading around $110K, has built a multi-trillion-dollar base that positions Bitcoin for a sustained move toward $150K and potentially a $3T market cap. Long-term holders are still selling in waves, but buyers, ETFs, corporations, and high-net-worth individuals, are absorbing supply and holding firm. Meanwhile, retail participation is shrinking, and institutions now drive price discovery. Check views gold as Bitcoin’s roadmap in a global “debasement trade,” with fiat currencies and bonds collapsing in real terms. He warns that external shocks, such as an AI bubble burst, could slow Bitcoin’s ascent, but overall sees the market entering a more volatile, euphoric phase driven by derivatives, liquidity, and demand for hard assets.

Best Quotes
-----------

“Bitcoiners are sitting on $1.5 trillion of unrealized profit, half a trillion more than Berkshire Hathaway’s entire market cap.”

“There’s something wrong with the denominator. It’s all one trade now.”

“Gold smells out the debasement first, Bitcoin follows with force.”

“We’re not seeing people exit because Bitcoin’s overvalued; we’re seeing people take profit while buyers vault it away. That’s new.”

“IBIT options overtaking Deribit this fast is mind-blowing, this is the biggest shift since ETFs went live.”

“Retail doesn’t move the needle anymore. The sovereign and institutional bid now defines the cycle.”

“We’ve proved a $2T base, now we’re building toward $3T. The era of chopsolidation is ending.”

“You don’t want dumb retail to show up, that’s when it’s over.”

“This time is actually different, you can see it in the volatility profile and the maturity of the bid side.”

“Stay humble and stack sats, the goal is to understand why Bitcoin moves, not to chase it.”

Conclusion
----------

Check concludes that Bitcoin’s bull market is entering its euphoric stage, supported by deep institutional liquidity, derivative expansion, and a structural shift in market psychology. The $95K–$110K range now serves as Bitcoin’s “HODL wall,” signaling resilience even through major selloffs. As gold leads the “debasement trade,” Bitcoin is positioned to follow, reflecting growing recognition among investors that fiat is failing as a denominator of value. While AI and macro risks could briefly unsettle markets, the long-term trajectory is clear: Bitcoin has crossed the Rubicon from speculation to systemic adoption. Check’s final message is measured optimism, embrace the volatility, stay flexible, and don’t mistake noise for signal in a market that’s still “growing up.”

Timestamps
----------

0:00 - Intro
1:20 - The Debasement Trade is here
7:00 - Businesses stacking sats
10:18 - James’s report and chopsolidation
15:40 - Bitkey & Crowdhealth
17:50 - Realized volatility
20:48 - Debasement goes mainstream
23:56 - Fiat in gold terms
27:01 - Are people waking up?
30:10 - AI boom
38:00 - SLNT & Unchained
39:26 - Gold ripping
50:32 - On-chain levels
58:44 - Retail doesn’t have the power this cycle
1:12:33 - Metrics to ignore

Transcript
----------

(00:00) The era of chop consolidation as we know it is probably going to take a back seat because I think we now enter the proper euphoria phase. The fact that we're still pushing up to 125. Honestly, the market is now saying I want higher. You could be at 150 by the end of the week. People who are coming in now, the traders, the retirement accounts, they just see the IBIT chart.
(00:16) It's in a bull market. It goes up only. Bitcoin has this very, very unique characteristic where it lulls everyone to sleep and then it rips. Gold, I think, tells us the future. It's where we're going when all is said and done. It smells out the debasement first months in advance. Bitcoin's at 125 grand. It's punching all-time highs and I just flick through all the treasury company charts.
(00:33) Down 85, down 95. Some of them are punching new lows. The least discussed, but I think most important thing since the ETFs, there's a market structure shift has been these IBIT options. This time is actually different and you can see it in this chart. It's just looking at all the major fiat currencies.
(00:49) They're all down 40 to 60% in gold terms and Bitcoin is up 50 to 80% more than that. Now, the gold market going up is just raising the ceiling for where Bitcoin's going. Vast majority of these firms had like 0.1% allocated to Bitcoin. Tens to hundreds of millions of dollars. Tiny portfolio allocation. Massive dollars. What happens if they go to 0.
(01:05) 002 the most bullish metric of all time in Bitcoin? The realized cap. It just crossed a trillion dollars. I bit as of today just crossed over 58% of the overall AUM dominance. Blows into all the ETFs except IBIT are flat and IBIT is just tearing away. James, the debasement trade is on. New alltime highs are here. It's all one trade, mate. It's all one trade. There's something wrong with the denominator. It really is.
(01:33) It really is. And people don't realize it yet. It's fascinating, right? And like I've said this before, I think even on this podcast, it's amazing to me that like bond traders, I love Luke Gman's line, is like they have to lull them to sleep and just like slowlyize the bond market.
(01:51) they have to just like pretend that they're going to try and solve this problem. Don't worry, just hold these bonds. We're going to mandate these ones or no, it's okay. We're going to try and get yields down, which means bond prices up. And it's like, guys, it's just they're they're coins. They really are. And this to the skeptics out there, the Bitcoin skeptics, it is astonishing.
(02:09) I think uh Mitchell Hodddle, he had this tweet from earlier today. I'll I'll pull it up because I thought it was a good one. uh new all-time highs today and people for better or for worse still believe Bitcoin is a fad. Um not something to pay attention to, but if I mean we've talked about this many times I think how far Bitcoin has come in only a little under 17 years is is miraculous and it shows here like you we'll look back on Bitcoin's monetization and marvel at how fast it happened on the zoomed out timeline of humanity. Bitcoin's takeover happened virtually instantaneously. Truly a zero to one
(02:46) moment. Totally. Um, so here's an interesting thought that I'd be curious to get your ideas on. I don't know about you, man. I'm certainly observing that Bitcoin has become desensitized to it. So there's almost this bifocation of how people are observing and and analyzing and studying Bitcoin.
(03:05) People who are coming in now, let's call them the traders, the retirement accounts. Like granted, there's still a small chunk of the overall demand. um I would estimate something like 20 odd percent or thereabouts. They're coming in and going like they just see the IBIT chart. It's in a bull market. It goes up only.
(03:21) What's not to like? And then people, all the Bitcoiners who've been around through all the high octane phases looking at this thing being like, "Oh god, this cycle sucks. It's so slow. So boring." You've got this real interesting dichotomy where it's like it is monetizing at an incredible rate. Think about some of the headlines that we see these days.
(03:41) If you told yourself that back in 2020, back in 2018 for you back in 2013, 144, 15, you wouldn't believe it, right? You just actually couldn't believe it was happening and now we're so desensitized to it. There's like this bifocation of the market. What are your thoughts on that? I think Bitcoin bores people to death. It This is what Bitcoin does.
(04:00) It ls people into a state of complacency and uh uncomfortability where they're not happy that it's not reaching new alltime highs every day. But again, it's insane looking at the charts now. We're at $2.5 trillion market cap and thinking back to our conversation earlier this year where Bitcoin had established itself as a $2 trillion asset and it's already added 25% more in market cap since then.
(04:27) And it's like what do you what do you people want? What more do you want? It's up almost 100% in over the last one year. It's up 32.6% year-to date. five years up over a thousand percent like it is monetizing in real time. But you were alluding to some things that have manifested over the course of this year that may have some longtime Bitcoiners but hurt because they made the wrong decision. Oh yeah, the old treasury company trade.
(04:50) This I mean this is one of those things that like I I love it. Like all things I love the gray zone. The gray zone is where I find it interesting. Um and you know you look at some of the comments I get on Twitter. I was, you know, I poked fun of them on Twitter saying, you know, Bitcoin's at 125 grand. It's punching alltime highs. And I just flick through all the Treasury company charts. Down 60, down 70, down 85, down 95.
(05:12) It's like some of them are punching new lows as Bitcoin is ripping to new alltime highs. You just look at this thing like something is going on here, right? That the market is in my view, like my real high level view, I've had this line that MNAV gravity is towards one.
(05:32) It appears to be that MNAV gravity is indeed towards one that by the way gravity just means that's the that's the acceleration. That's where it wants to go. There are a handful of these companies that


Marty's Bent
------------

[![Square Enables Merchants To Easily Accumulate Bitcoin On Their Balance Sheets](https://www.tftc.io/content/images/2025/10/Screenshot-2025-10-08-at-7.59.37---PM.png)](https://x.com/milessuter/status/1975969260024496525?ref=tftc.io)

via [Miles Suter](https://x.com/milessuter/status/1975969260024496525?ref=tftc.io)

![Square Enables Merchants To Easily Accumulate Bitcoin On Their Balance Sheets](https://www.tftc.io/content/images/2025/10/martybent_a_happy_customer_in_a_coffee_shop_paying_via_QR_code__f1a565d0-f08b-41c3-8461-3b160331c418.png)

In 2018 Cash App enabled their users to easily buy and sell bitcoin within the popular consumer finance app. At the time this was a massive validation and endorsement for bitcoin when it was less than a decade old. Having the backing and buy-in from a mainstream fintech player like Block (Square, at the time) was a signal to the world that bitcoin is something to take seriously. Jack Dorsey and team sticking their necks out to recognize bitcoin as a legitimate value added product to their suite will be recognized as a pivotal point in bitcoin's history.

It's been more than seven years since Cash App launched buy/sell bitcoin and Block has launched:

*   Spiral - A non-profit organization dedicated to supporting open-source bitcoin development, with a heavy focus on the lightning network.
*   Bitkey - A hardware wallet that leverages multi-sig to create an easy was for bitcoin users to self-custody their bitcoin with some hand holding.
*   Proto - A mining company dedicated to bringing open mining hardware and management software to compete with incumbents like Bitmain and MicroBT. The Proto team launched the Rig in August; a modular bitcoin mining machine that comes with a sleek fleet management software system.

To say the least, Block really cares about pushing bitcoin forward and has backed that up with heavy investments in businesses that support different parts of the bitcoin market.

With all of that being said, the number one question Block has been asked since they unleashed bitcoin to Cash App users seven years ago is, "Wen bitcoin in Square terminals?!"

Well, as of today, the wait is officially over. Earlier this afternoon, Square announced that all of their merchants will immediately be able to convert a portion of their card sales to bitcoin, buy/sell/hold/withdraw bitcoin via their business portals and on November 10th they will also be able to accept bitcoin via Square terminals as well.

![Square Enables Merchants To Easily Accumulate Bitcoin On Their Balance Sheets](https://www.tftc.io/content/images/2025/10/Screenshot-2025-10-08-at-9.26.36---PM.png)

via [Square](https://squareup.com/us/en/bitcoin?ref=tftc.io)

![Square Enables Merchants To Easily Accumulate Bitcoin On Their Balance Sheets](https://www.tftc.io/content/images/2025/10/Screenshot-2025-10-08-at-9.26.44---PM.png)

via [Square](https://squareup.com/us/en/bitcoin?ref=tftc.io)

![Square Enables Merchants To Easily Accumulate Bitcoin On Their Balance Sheets](https://www.tftc.io/content/images/2025/10/Screenshot-2025-10-08-at-9.26.50---PM.png)

via [Square](https://squareup.com/us/en/bitcoin?ref=tftc.io)

This. This right here is massive. As it stands today, Square supports over 4,000,000 merchants across the United States and every single one of them will be able to log into their Square business accounts tomorrow and decide to automatically convert a portion of their cash flow into bitcoin. If 10% of their US customer base enables this feature that will produce 400,000 new small, medium and large businesses that are using bitcoin as a treasury asset that enables them to help grow their businesses. Don't take it from me, take it from Glenn Charles, who has been part of Square's beta test of this product for the last two years.

![Square Enables Merchants To Easily Accumulate Bitcoin On Their Balance Sheets](https://www.tftc.io/content/images/2025/10/Screenshot-2025-10-08-at-10.07.04---PM.png)

via [Glenn Charles](https://x.com/GlennCharlesPh1/status/1976039946961158401?ref=tftc.io)

This is the type of "corporate" bitcoin adoption you love to see. Bitcoin is an asset that can help small businesses in ways that most people cannot even fathom. I know from experience, this small (but mighty) media company has benefited massively from our bitcoin treasury, our ability to accept bitcoin for payment and our ability to pay employees and contractors in bitcoin. Opening this up to 4,000,000 businesses overnight cannot be overstated. Most importantly because Square is making bitcoin a first-class citizen throughout the experience, where other payment processors and point-of-sale systems make it hard for their customers to integrate bitcoin throughout the business stack.

Once bitcoin payments are enabled in a little over a month merchants will be able to receive bitcoin and either convert it immediately to cash or hold it in bitcoin. Bitcoiners who live on a bitcoin standard will be able to spend their sats at many more merchants in meat space. THE bitcoin standard becomes more tangible.

[![Square Enables Merchants To Easily Accumulate Bitcoin On Their Balance Sheets](https://www.tftc.io/content/images/2025/10/Screenshot-2025-10-08-at-10.28.00---PM.png)](https://x.com/owenbjennings/status/1976035183767015909?ref=tftc.io)

via [OBJ](https://x.com/owenbjennings/status/1976035183767015909?ref=tftc.io)

The next thing to check off the list is getting a de minimis tax exemption for bitcoin payments. It looks like Jack is putting the pressure on.

[![Square Enables Merchants To Easily Accumulate Bitcoin On Their Balance Sheets](https://www.tftc.io/content/images/2025/10/Screenshot-2025-10-08-at-10.26.25---PM.png)](https://x.com/jack/status/1976056646138036581?ref=tftc.io)

via [jack](https://x.com/jack/status/1976056646138036581?ref=tftc.io)

* * *

### Chop-Solidation Market Dynamics: Insights into Bitcoin's 2025 Market

In our latest episode, we delved into the current state of the Bitcoin market for 2025, which has been marked by a phase of consolidation with notably low volatility. This 'chop-solidation' phase, as my guest James Check described, suggests a market that is maturing and becoming more sophisticated. The discussion highlighted how this period of stability might be setting the stage for a significant future movement in the market, indicating a strategic patience among investors.

> The market is showing signs of a sophisticated structure, preparing for something big. - [James Check](https://twitter.com/_Checkmatey_?ref=tftc.io)

This optimistic outlook was shared by both myself and James, suggesting that the current market dynamics could lead to substantial opportunities for those who remain patient and vigilant. The low volatility phase is not just a lull but potentially a precursor to a major shift, making this an exciting time for Bitcoin enthusiasts and investors alike.

Check out the [full podcast here](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4uZW0j-sW6w&feature=youtu.be&ref=tftc.io) for more with one of the most accurate price prediction and market structure experts we have on the show.

* * *

### Headlines of the Day

[Tokyo firm invests $3.3M in Bitcoin](https://x.com/BitcoinNewsCom/status/1975931437133013140?ref=tftc.io)

[Bitcoin payments via WhatsApp demoed](https://x.com/BitcoinNewsCom/status/1975921235088294326?ref=tftc.io)

[Bitcoin addresses over 100 BTC hit ATH](https://x.com/BitcoinMagazine/status/1975942718821216578?ref=tftc.io)

[Square introduces zero-fee Bitcoin wallet](https://x.com/BitcoinMagazine/status/1975921191769555166?ref=tftc.io)

[Loosening conditions fuel Bitcoin bull run](https://x.com/TFTC21/status/1975960945559257315?ref=tftc.io)

[Bitcoin's floor at $95k, target $150k](https://x.com/TFTC21/status/1975956145073172503?ref=tftc.io)

* * *

[![Square Enables Merchants To Easily Accumulate Bitcoin On Their Balance Sheets](https://www.tftc.io/content/images/2025/10/D1.png)](https://unchnd.co/4nulnb8?ref=tftc.io)

[Download here](https://unchnd.co/4nulnb8?ref=tftc.io)

You know the story of bitcoin’s market cycles... euphoric blow-offs, brutal crashes. _Maybe not anymore_. [**The Bitcoin Checkpoint**](https://unchnd.co/4nulnb8?ref=tftc.io) takes a deep look at how the 2023–2025 cycle has rewritten market structure and why these changes could be permanent.

Inside, you’ll find analysis of record-low volatility, ETF flows absorbing billions monthly, and why long-term holders remain in control with $1.3T in unrealized profit. Plus, download now for automatic access to the event where James Check took a deep dive into the report himself.

* * *

### Bitcoiners: Don’t let nefarious actors steal your sats.

SLNT's patented Faraday backpacks, sleeves, and dry bags secure your hardware wallet or electronics against hackers and solar flares.

Block WiFi, GPS, RFID, and EMPs with our MIL-STD compliant tech. Made in the USA, trusted by 8 military contracts. Protect your wealth, stay untraceable.

Add Faraday protection to your stack here: [https://slnt.com/tftc](https://slnt.com/pages/tftc?ref=tftc.io) & use code _TFTC for 15% off_

[![Square Enables Merchants To Easily Accumulate Bitcoin On Their Balance Sheets](https://www.tftc.io/content/images/2025/09/Reclaim-your-privacy.png)](https://slnt.com/pages/tftc?ref=tftc.io)

[Use Code: TFTC](https://slnt.com/pages/tftc?ref=tftc.io)

* * *

### Obscura – The World’s Best VPN Built by Bitcoiners

Created by Carl Dong (former Bitcoin Core contributor), unlike other VPNs, it _can’t_ log your activity by design, delivering verifiable privacy you can trust.

[![Square Enables Merchants To Easily Accumulate Bitcoin On Their Balance Sheets](https://www.tftc.io/content/images/2025/08/newsletter-1.jpg)](https://obscura.net/?ref=tftc.io)

[USE CODE TFTC25](https://obscura.net/?ref=tftc.io)

**Outsmarts internet censorship**: works even on the most restrictive Wi-Fi networks where other VPNs fail.
**Pay with bitcoin o


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text: ニンニク

text: 歯医者

text: 処理

text: 有吉

text: 旅行のとき

text: 明日の準備をきちんと整えた

text: 遠足と

text: たんだけど

text: 食べていい

text: 食べたいもの食べ

text: なんか

text: 近い

text: ハゲ隠し

text: ことが

text: ことに

text: 参加

text: 新規

text: があった


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BNO News Live

about:
Live updates from the team behind BNO News. For other news, follow @bnonews

(mirror of @BNODesk@twitter.com)


New OP_RETURN
{p:brc-20,op:mint,tick:KEK,amt:10000}
https://mempool.space/tx/ebd6cca6bd0214a97bb158d80fce7811761d1b2238f6cb29d3a4b85ae5004624


RSS-to-Nostr of Nature

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RSS-to-Nostr feed of Nature
More RSS-To-Nostr can be found in my following list


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about:
America’s #1 Alternative News Source | Founded September 2011

(mirror of @Breaking911@twitter.com)


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Oh how could I possibly forget then loss prevention might come to your store & give a whole rant on loss prevention metrics & what this means red mode basically if the company has to consider in investing more security cameras, guards, or mirror w hidden cam behind it that sees through mirror one way. Then one of the cashiers is losing their job.


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RSS-to-Nostr of Slashdot

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RSS-to-Nostr feed of Slashdot
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赤身

about: オナニーは一日三百九十三回


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tags:
A short note: Cool
nostr:nevent1qqsd530424tlznva20dwhx4ypvjhenav...

content:
Cool
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Obviously AI considering Maryland plates with guns in a vehicle


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🍚食べた！


100,000 แค่ปากซอย
#siamstr
nostr:nevent1qqsz0jnmwzpvv0yyxqfnyyfr2mvd82a3x79tpycwhgl96hd70tdpjlspzamhxue69uhhyetvv9ujumn0w3hhx6rf9emkjms25rxp7


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Hey nostr:npub18m76awca3y37hkvuneavuw6pjj4525fw90necxmadrvjg0sdy6qsngq955 team! I’ve been living under a rock the past few months and just getting up to speed with the new wallet config. Mine appears to still be connected via NWC to my node, but also seems like it’s waiting for me to set up something. Any advice? Seems my zaps don’t go through. Might just try resetting the connection. Stay tuned.
#asknostr cc nostr:npub1xtscya34g58tk0z605fvr788k263gsu6cy9x0mhnm87echrgufzsevkk5s nostr:npub1zafcms4xya5ap9zr7xxr0jlrtrattwlesytn2s42030lzu0dwlzqpd26k5

https://image.nostr.build/728ead6d05bdff47e4e0aae684a063f01592c993816b553f657acfbb44878e8d.jpg
https://image.nostr.build/45f4d38272a7125b9c3003738116bb66f8e460f3635be118ba2bda650b564833.jpg


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まし - COMMS OPEN

about:
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KEEP IT ALL FICTIONAL.

Please, support me KO-FI, it helps me a lot!

fields:
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Open


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RSS-to-Nostr of Novara Media

about:
RSS-to-Nostr feed of Novara Media
More RSS-To-Nostr can be found in my following list


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HdjK3rNPuGQ6X2Et0S7Jyw==?iv=KmbUy31SODxhsD8IDA0wnQ==


tags:
主にNovelAIで生成したイラストを適当にアップします。版権系多め。
※販売目的はありません。只の趣味です

X:
https://x.com/ccc25_25?t=0t1FINczXlNz-aC7N1deuA&s=09


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RSS-to-Nostr of Declassified UK

about:
RSS-to-Nostr feed of Declassified UK
More RSS-To-Nostr can be found in my following list


New OP_RETURN
{p:brc-20,op:mint,tick:KEK,amt:10000}
https://mempool.space/tx/6b44919d362c0a3740389de29eb6bf3b8e1179cbb0f59de64ad44b4ff9d3a565


We're Gonna Win🍷


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tags: Looking for latest content by people you follow..


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text: 🎥 Check out this from #trailers : 📌 Title:

text: never

text: #Bitcoin:

text: total

text: being

text: spot ETFs

text: BlackRock’s

text: tokens

text: of the

text: also

text: it’s

text: a little

text: I think

text: doing

text: #ETF

text: you.

text: maybe


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